"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Auckland Title Chances 2016
Beat Southern 9-2, title odds up 0.06 to 99.9%
23 points 7-1 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/3 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon |
| Auckland 6 Southern 2 | +0.2 | +0.2 | No | |||
| Auckland 9 Southern 2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Southern vs Auckland | -1.8*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0Yes | -1.8*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0Yes | ||||
| Auckland vs Canterbury | YesYesYes+0.1+0.1-0.3 | YesYesYes+0.1+0.1-0.3 | ||||
| Southern vs Canterbury | Yes*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0 | Yes*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Week of 12/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon |
| Southern vs Auckland | -1.8*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0Yes | -1.8*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0Yes | ||||
| Canterbury vs Auckland | -0.3+0.1+0.1YesYesYes | -0.3+0.1+0.1YesYesYes | ||||
| Southern vs Canterbury | Yes*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0 | Yes*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Auckland finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | Spoon | Count | ||||||
| 26 | -35 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 118,182,672 | * | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 83.8 | % | 83.8 | % | 84 | 16 | No | 26,750 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 97.2 | 97.2 | 97 | 3 | No | 218 | ||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 69.9 | 69.9 | 70 | 30 | No | 2,098 | |||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 27.6 | 27.6 | 28 | 72 | No | 106,904 | |||||||
| Total: | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 118,318,642 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
