Alethkar Shard Warriors Playoff Chances SeasonIX 50/50
Lost to 49ers 1-2, playoff odds down 53.3 to 0%
15 points 4-3-7
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| 49ers 0 Exsanguinators 4 | -2.3 | -0.4 | ||
| Titans 1 Reapers 2 | +0.4 | |||
| Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Serpents 3 Crushers 0 | Out | -0.3 | ||
| Caudillos 1 S Warriors 1 | -2.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Noldorins 0 Delvers 1 | -2.0 | |||
| Exsanguinators 1 Brawls 2 | +0.6 | +0.3 | ||
| Rot-Nucks 1 Reapers 0 | *+0.1 | |||
| Week of 7/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| 49ers 2 S Warriors 1 | Out | -1.4 | ||
| Disasters 3 Delvers 0 | +0.4 | |||
| Caudillos 2 Wrongdoers 1 | +0.2 | |||
| Noldorins 2 Titans 5 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Crushers vs Brawls | +0.5-0.1-0.5 | |||
| Serpents vs Exsanguinators | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the S Warriors finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Out | 48 | 52 | 1,608,000 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | Out | 48 | 52 | 1,608,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Week of 6/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| 49ers 0 Exsanguinators 4 | +0.7 | |
| Regulars 1 Poets 2 | -0.1 | |
| Caudillos 2 Crushers 1 | +0.1 | |
| Raptors 2 Gang 1 | +0.1 | |
| Korsairs 2 Cardinals 3 | +0.1 | |
| Children 0 Guardians 1 | -0.1 | |
| Rot-Nucks 2 Disasters 0 | +0.1 | |
| Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Exsanguinators 1 Brawls 2 | -0.6 | |
| Caudillos 1 S Warriors 1 | +0.4 | |
| Serpents 3 Crushers 0 | +0.4 | |
| Noldorins 0 Delvers 1 | +0.1 | |
| Week of 7/2 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| 49ers 2 S Warriors 1 | +2.7 | |
| Children 0 Cardinals 2 | +0.6 | |
| Disasters 3 Delvers 0 | -0.5 | |
| Caudillos 2 Wrongdoers 1 | -0.3 | |
| Chipmunks 0 Rot-Nucks 1 | +0.1 | |
| Noldorins 2 Titans 5 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Crushers vs Brawls | -0.5*+0.0+0.5 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 50 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:21 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
