Show Pony Lifestyle Playoff Chances 2017
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 93.8%
2 points 1 0-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| WeathervaneRangers 6 Bruins 3 | *-0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | -4.6+2.6+5.6 | No-0.0+0.1 | -0.8+0.1+1.0 | |||
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | +1.3-1.0-2.0 | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | -2.4-0.4+0.8 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||
| ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -1.0-0.8+1.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | -0.2*-0.2+0.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | -4.6+2.7+5.6 | No-0.0+0.1 | -0.8+0.1+1.0 | |||
| WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | +0.7-1.3-4.7 | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers | +0.7-0.2-2.0 | |||||
| Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | -0.4-0.5+0.6 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||||
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the ShowPonyLifestyle finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | ||||||
| 10 | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 2.2 | % | 100 | 27,532 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.0 | 73 | 27 | 32,257 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 45 | 35 | 21 | 179,466 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 34 | 42 | 24 | 13,613 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 22 | 48 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 146,693 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 2 | 23 | 47 | 28 | 1 | 2,415 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 20 | 59 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 392,162 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 1 | 13 | 56 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 38,614 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | No | 2 | 10 | 55 | 27 | 6 | 166 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 26 | 45 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 199,837 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 100.0 | No | 0 | 20 | 45 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 3,287 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 97.1 | No | 0 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 339,914 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 96.0 | No | 0 | 4 | 25 | 39 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 24,722 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 73.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 24 | 2 | 80,046 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 32.8 | No | 3 | 30 | 44 | 23 | 96,956 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 93.8 | % | 0.0 | % | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1,577,680 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| WeathervaneRangers 6 Bruins 3 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | +3.4-0.4-4.5 | |
| CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Rangers vs IceTurkeys | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| IceAge vs Wolfhounds | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
| HighWide vs NESHLSouth | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |
| Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
| TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | +3.4-0.5-4.6 | |
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | |
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | +0.2+0.1-0.0 | |
| FightingSioux vs HighWide | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| GLP vs Cyclones | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| Cougars vs SouthKnights | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | |||
| 10 | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:19 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
