Ice Turkeys Playoff Chances 2017
Plays at Rangers, playoff odds down 0.001 to 95.1%
2 points 1 2-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rangers vs IceTurkeys | -6.5+4.6In | -2.6-0.2+2.4 | ||
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | -3.3-0.3+1.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | -2.9-1.6+1.1 | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | ||
| IceAge vs Wolfhounds | -2.3-1.0+1.3 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | ||
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -1.4-1.5+1.1 | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | ||
| GLP vs Chiefs | +0.4-0.6-1.5 | +0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.3-0.3-1.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | +0.6-0.6-0.6 | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | +0.4-0.6-0.5 | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | ||
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GLP vs Cyclones | +0.6-1.0-3.9 | +0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +1.0*+0.1-1.6 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | ||
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -1.4-1.4+1.1 | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | ||
| Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | -1.5-0.5+0.8 | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | ||
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | -0.5-0.6+0.3 | -0.3-0.1+0.1 | ||
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.6-0.5+0.2 | -0.3-0.1+0.1 | ||
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | -0.4-0.2+0.1 | |||
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||
| FightingSioux vs HighWide | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the IceTurkeys finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | ||||||
| 6 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 195,311 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 116,219 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 652,863 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15,839 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.3 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 167,605 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 82.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 429,843 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 95.1 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1,577,680 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rangers vs IceTurkeys | +4.6+0.4-4.3 | |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.2+0.3-0.2 | |
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | |
| GLP vs Chiefs | -0.1+0.1+0.3 | |
| RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | +0.3+0.1-0.1 | |
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | |
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | |
| TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | |
| IceAge vs Wolfhounds | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | |
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | |
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.2+0.4-0.2 | |
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | +0.4+0.2-0.1 | |
| WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | -0.1+0.1+0.4 | |
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.3+0.1-0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | +0.3+0.1-0.1 | |
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | |
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| GLP vs Cyclones | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | |
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| FightingSioux vs HighWide | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | |||
| 6 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:19 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
