FHTP Playoff Chances SBFallWinter201920 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.9%

23 points 10 6-0 3

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
PourSports 5 AnnasHarborsideGrille 2					-0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars 0 Bevman 1			*No
Ticklefight 9 HighWide 2			*No

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
FHTP vs RoyalDangleBerries	In+0.1-0.1				+0.2-0.0-0.2
Sullivans vs AnnasHarborsideGrille	-0.1+0.0+0.1
JagrBombs vs PourSports					+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the FHTP finish out the regular season. Explain

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chowder		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		Cup		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

29	3	0		-	0	0		In		0.0	%	25	75							102,160
28	2	0		-	0	1		In		No		8	92	0						67,732
27	2	1		-	0	0		In		No		4	92	4						304,527
	1	0		-	0	2		In		No		4	93	3						15,130
26	1	1		-	0	1		In		No		0	86	14						135,500
	0	0		-	0	3		In		No		1	89	10						1,086
25	1	2		-	0	0		In		No			65	35	0					304,876
	0	1		-	0	2		In		No			65	34	0					14,874
24	0	2		-	0	1		100.0	%	No			36	61	3	0				67,464
23	0	3		-	0	0		99.1		No			10	71	18	1				102,155

Total:								99.9	%	0.0	%	4	71	23	2	0				1,115,504

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 3/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
BashBros 4 LuckyDawgs 6	+0.1
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5	+0.1
Ducks 7 Brewskis 3	+0.1
Haulers 4 Blackbeers 5	+0.1
FightingSquirrels 4 Dynamo 3	+0.1
RocklandLiquors 4 Hogbuffs 5	+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
SilkyMitts vs NESHLSouth	+0.1*-0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
FHTP vs RoyalDangleBerries	-1.9-0.0+1.9
MooseKnuckles vs Magoos	+0.2-0.0-0.2
Surge vs LuckyDawgs	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Bevman vs Haulers	+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs SilkyMitts	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
JagrBombs vs PourSports	-0.1+0.0+0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars vs SSFlyers	-0.1-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35	36	37	38	39	40	41	42	43

29	3	0		-	0	0		0	0	1	6	17	28	28	15	4	0	0
28	2	0		-	0	1			0	0	0	2	10	25	32	22	7	1	0	0
27	2	1		-	0	0					0	0	1	4	17	31	29	14	3	0	0	0	0
	1	0		-	0	2						0	1	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0
26	1	1		-	0	1							0	0	2	10	24	30	22	9	2	0	0	0
	0	0		-	0	3								0	2	11	25	29	21	9	2	0
25	1	2		-	0	0								0	0	0	3	13	26	28	19	8	2	0	0	0	0
	0	1		-	0	2									0	1	4	14	27	27	17	8	3	0	0
24	0	2		-	0	1										0	0	1	4	12	22	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
23	0	3		-	0	0												0	0	1	3	10	20	25	22	13	5	1	0	0

Total:								0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	13	12	11	10	7	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0