B2 SOUTH Playoff Chances SBFallWinter201920 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chowder Cup			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	RPI

Ducks	26		11	3		-	0	4		28	In			6.9	%	+1.0	88	11	0						1.1	+0.02	10	Ducks
SSFlyers	23		10	5		-	0	3		27	In			0.1		+0.0	10	75	15	0					2.0	+0.07	14	SS Flyers
PlymouthCountyAllStars	16	3	7	6		-	0	2		2	98.4	%	-0.7	0.0		-0.0	2	14	74	10	2				3.0	-0.13	6	Plymouth County All Stars
Brewskis	12	2	5	9		-	0	2		-8	68.5		+0.3	No				0	8	61	31				4.2	+0.03	33	Brewskis

WoodfordLawBoxers	11	1	5	11		-	0	1		-11	33.1		+0.3	No					3	30	67				4.6	+0.02	28	Woodford Law Boxers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 3/9
WoodfordLawBoxers 2 ATCJets 5
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			-0.4
PlymouthCountyAllStars	+0.6
Brewskis	+10.0				+0.1
WoodfordLawBoxers	-10.6				-0.1

Ducks 7 Brewskis 3
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			+3.6		+0.1
SSFlyers					-0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars	+0.7
Brewskis	-9.7				-0.2
WoodfordLawBoxers	+9.1				+0.1

PlymouthCountyAllStars 0 Bevman 1
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
SSFlyers					+0.1
PlymouthCountyAllStars	-0.7				-0.1
Brewskis	+0.4
WoodfordLawBoxers	+0.4

Surge 4 Rippers 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			-2.9
SSFlyers			-0.1

PourSports 5 AnnasHarborsideGrille 2
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			+1.0

RocklandLiquors 4 Hogbuffs 5
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			+0.7
SSFlyers			+0.1

FightingSquirrels 4 Dynamo 3
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			-0.6

Week of 3/16
Ducks vs WoodfordLawBoxersIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			12.65.31.6		1.01.11.2
SSFlyers					2.12.12.0
PlymouthCountyAllStars	99.2*98.397.6
Brewskis	78.467.858.8				4.14.24.3
WoodfordLawBoxers	22.533.843.5				4.84.64.5

FightingSquirrels vs BrewskisHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			6.37.17.5
PlymouthCountyAllStars	99.0*98.597.8
Brewskis	58.367.778.9				4.44.34.1
WoodfordLawBoxers	42.733.823.2				4.54.64.7

PlymouthCountyAllStars vs SSFlyersHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks					1.11.11.2
SSFlyers			0.00.00.2		2.32.01.8
PlymouthCountyAllStars	99.698.797.2				2.73.03.2
Brewskis	68.0*68.369.1
WoodfordLawBoxers	32.4*33.033.7

Surge vs LuckyDawgsHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			3.8*6.810.1
SSFlyers			0.0*0.10.2

Chiefs vs RocklandLiquorsHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			7.67.16.2

Sullivans vs AnnasHarborsideGrilleHomeTieAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			7.57.26.2

Blackbeers vs ATCJetsHomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			7.47.16.3

Ticklefight vs HogbuffsHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks			7.2*7.06.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.