METRO A Playoff Chances MBFallWinter201920

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chowder Cup			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Canucks	32		15	2		-	0	2		84	In			62.7	%	+0.1	63	37									1.4		8	.849	Canucks
ShawBarrels	28	2	13	2		-	0	2		41	In			37.3		-0.1	37	63									1.6		5	.751	Shaw Barrels
Muckers	18		8	9		-	0	2		-6	100.0	%	-0.0	No					24	45	23	8	0				4.2		37	.466	Muckers
Hofbrau	17	2	8	8		-	0	1		-11	99.9		-0.0	No					59	26	12	3	0				3.6		54	.436	Hofbrau
Ruthless	15	2	6	8		-	0	3		-7	99.6		-0.0	No					16	23	40	21	0	0			4.7		30	.455	Ruthless
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	15	1	7	10		-	0	1		-8	99.1		-0.0	No					1	7	25	66	1	0			5.6		45	.449	Dirty Mike and the Boys

Ponies	10	1	4	12		-	0	2		-27	1.1		+0.0	No						0	0	1	78	21			7.2		57	.336	Ponies
Gentlemen	10		4	13		-	0	2		-49	0.3		+0.0	No							0	0	21	79			7.8		43	.243	Gentlemen

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 2/18
Ponies 4 Muckers 6
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Muckers	+10.3				+0.4
Ruthless	+4.6
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	+0.7				-0.0
Ponies	-16.5				-0.5
Gentlemen	+0.9				+0.0

DirtyMikeandtheBoys 0 NESHLNorth 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Muckers	+0.8				+0.1
Ruthless	+1.3				+0.1
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	-5.1				-0.3
Ponies	+1.9				+0.1
Gentlemen	+1.3

Gentlemen 4 ShawBarrels 8
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Canucks			-0.2
ShawBarrels			+0.2		+0.0
Muckers	+0.8				+0.0
Hofbrau					-0.0
Ruthless	+1.6				+0.0
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	+0.4				+0.0
Ponies	+1.0				+0.0
Gentlemen	-3.9				-0.1

Canucks 12 Hofbrau 2
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Canucks			+3.2		+0.0
ShawBarrels			-3.2		-0.0
Hofbrau			No

Week of 2/25
Hofbrau 4 Ruthless 8
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Muckers	-0.7				-0.1
Hofbrau	-0.1				-0.1
Ruthless	+9.6				+0.4
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	-0.9				-0.1
Ponies	-5.2				-0.1
Gentlemen	-2.7				-0.1

Gentlemen 4 DirtyMikeandtheBoys 6
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Muckers	+0.6				-0.1
Ruthless	+1.7
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	+6.9				+0.3
Ponies	-1.0				+0.0
Gentlemen	-8.1				-0.2

Muckers 5 ShawBarrels 5 (ot)
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Canucks			+2.8		+0.0
ShawBarrels			-2.8		-0.0
Muckers	+2.6				+0.2
Ruthless	*-0.3				-0.0
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	-0.6				-0.1
Ponies	-1.0
Gentlemen	-0.7

Canucks vs PoniesIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Chowder Cup	100.0*	Average seed
Canucks			67.151.228.5		1.31.51.7
ShawBarrels			32.948.871.5		1.71.51.3
Muckers	In*In100.0
Hofbrau	In99.699.4
Ruthless	99.799.598.5
DirtyMikeandtheBoys	99.598.695.4
Ponies	0.51.96.4				7.27.17.0
Gentlemen					7.87.97.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.