"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Old School Playoff Chances WinterPlayoff201920
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 99.9%
14 points 6 5-0 2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Shamrocks vs OldSchool | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | |||
| BladesofSteel vs WhiskeyShots | -0.1*-0.0+0.0 | +0.3+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| JunkyardDogs vs ThornyDevils | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the OldSchool finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||||
| 36 | 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 45.3 | % | 45 | 55 | 2,169 | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 30.3 | 30 | 69 | 0 | 4,469 | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 16.8 | 17 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 17,955 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 17.2 | 17 | 79 | 4 | 4,422 | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 7.0 | 7 | 72 | 20 | 1 | 36,006 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 7.6 | 8 | 78 | 14 | 0 | 2,624 | |||||||||||||
| 32 | 9 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 2.0 | 2 | 50 | 43 | 5 | 70,528 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 2.2 | 2 | 54 | 39 | 5 | 31,800 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 2.3 | 2 | 62 | 34 | 2 | 1,095 | |||||||||||||
| 31 | 8 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.4 | 0 | 28 | 54 | 18 | 125,111 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0.5 | 1 | 31 | 52 | 17 | 16,894 | * | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 8 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0.1 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 40 | 0 | 161,639 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0.1 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 38 | 0 | 97,154 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0.1 | 0 | 14 | 50 | 36 | 5,658 | * | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 7 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 62 | 0 | 249,712 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 61 | 0 | 43,919 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | In | No | 4 | 37 | 60 | 1,319 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 7 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 1 | 19 | 80 | 0 | 238,768 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 1 | 20 | 79 | 0 | 167,954 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | In | No | 1 | 20 | 79 | 0 | 12,826 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 6 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 9 | 90 | 1 | 317,615 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 0 | 9 | 90 | 1 | 64,158 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | In | No | 0 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 2,465 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 6 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 93 | 4 | 0 | 236,561 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 93 | 3 | 0 | 180,081 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 93 | 3 | 15,489 | * | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 5 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 1 | 91 | 8 | 0 | 267,729 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 0 | 1 | 91 | 8 | 0 | 57,128 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | In | No | 1 | 91 | 8 | 0 | 2,378 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 162,235 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 124,394 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | In | No | 0 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 10,835 | * | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 69 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 150,398 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 0 | 69 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 30,461 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | In | No | 68 | 31 | 2 | 1,259 | * | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 77,114 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 55,265 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | In | No | 50 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 4,354 | * | ||||||||||||
| 21 | 3 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | % | No | 29 | 55 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 55,861 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 28 | 55 | 16 | 1 | 10,531 | * | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.8 | No | 12 | 50 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 24,859 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 99.8 | No | 11 | 49 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 16,166 | * | |||||||||||
| 19 | 2 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 97.9 | No | 2 | 29 | 46 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 13,605 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 97.4 | No | 2 | 27 | 47 | 21 | 3 | 1,871 | * | |||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 89.8 | No | 0 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 5,187 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 87.6 | No | 0 | 10 | 36 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 2,477 | * | ||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 63.1 | No | 1 | 14 | 47 | 33 | 4 | 2,041 | * | ||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 30.6 | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 52 | 17 | 788 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 1 | 11.8 | No | 12 | 47 | 41 | 110 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | No | 1 | 37 | 62 | 163 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 99.9 | % | 0.4 | % | 0 | 6 | 15 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,185,600 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:16 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
