Northern Lights Playoff Chances WinterPlayoff201920 50/50
Beat IceDogs 8-2, playoff odds up 11.7 to 88.5%
14 points 6 6-0 2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| IceDogs 2 NorthernLights 8 | +10.4 | +0.7 | +0.3 | |||
| Chiefs1 3 Chiefs2 5 | +1.7 | -0.5 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Mulligans vs Lux | -2.3*-0.2+2.4 | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the NorthernLights finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||||
| 34 | 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 87.5 | % | 88 | 12 | 369 | |||||||||||||
| 33 | 9 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 65.3 | 65 | 35 | 717 | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 9 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 49.3 | 49 | 50 | 1 | 3,231 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 50.5 | 51 | 48 | 1 | 730 | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 30.2 | 30 | 66 | 4 | 6,643 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 31.1 | 31 | 65 | 4 | 428 | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 8 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 15.5 | 15 | 72 | 13 | 14,600 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 15.7 | 16 | 71 | 13 | 5,714 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 16.9 | 17 | 70 | 13 | 166 | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 7 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 5.7 | 6 | 66 | 28 | 0 | 25,818 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 5.6 | 6 | 69 | 25 | 0 | 3,011 | * | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 7 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 1.6 | 2 | 51 | 47 | 0 | 39,050 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 1.5 | 2 | 52 | 47 | 0 | 19,966 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0.9 | 1 | 54 | 45 | 0 | 993 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 6 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.2 | 0 | 34 | 65 | 1 | 60,409 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0.2 | 0 | 33 | 65 | 1 | 9,055 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | In | 0.5 | 0 | 35 | 64 | 219 | * | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 6 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 68,495 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 40,463 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | In | No | 17 | 80 | 3 | 2,583 | * | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 5 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.9 | No | 8 | 81 | 11 | 0 | 90,400 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | No | 7 | 82 | 10 | 0 | 14,873 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | In | No | 7 | 84 | 9 | 465 | * | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.5 | No | 2 | 73 | 24 | 1 | 81,740 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 99.5 | No | 2 | 74 | 23 | 0 | 50,839 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 99.5 | No | 2 | 75 | 22 | 0 | 3,331 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | In | No | 2 | 77 | 21 | 57 | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 97.2 | No | 0 | 57 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 91,506 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 97.5 | No | 0 | 58 | 39 | 3 | 15,182 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 97.7 | No | 0 | 60 | 37 | 2 | 431 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 90.5 | No | 0 | 36 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 68,258 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 91.0 | No | 0 | 37 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 40,199 | * | |||||||||||
| 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 91.0 | No | 38 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 2,404 | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 75.6 | No | 0 | 18 | 58 | 24 | 1 | 60,977 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 76.9 | No | 19 | 58 | 22 | 1 | 8,952 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 79.2 | No | 12 | 67 | 21 | 236 | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 53.2 | No | 6 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 39,147 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 54.0 | No | 7 | 47 | 42 | 4 | 20,363 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 52.9 | No | 6 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 973 | * | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 29.0 | No | 1 | 28 | 57 | 14 | 26,019 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 30.1 | No | 1 | 29 | 57 | 13 | 3,044 | * | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 12.1 | No | 0 | 12 | 56 | 32 | 14,646 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 11.9 | No | 0 | 12 | 57 | 31 | 5,888 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 11.6 | No | 1 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 155 | |||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 3.3 | No | 3 | 42 | 55 | 6,486 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 2.9 | No | 3 | 43 | 55 | 409 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | No | 1 | 25 | 74 | 3,255 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | No | 1 | 24 | 76 | 751 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 11 | 89 | 666 | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 96 | 368 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 88.5 | % | 1.1 | % | 1 | 13 | 50 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 954,680 | |||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:16 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
