Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
1/17PGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
Warhawks18182-021299.9%-0.037.0%-0.137241711731002.49PondScumWarhawks
SilverBullets1883-022599.8+0.026.4-0.126262014841002.710Silver Bullets
Hellfish16184-001199.5+0.019.3+0.1192020171382103.2+0.0116at WolvesHellfish
Wolves1674-021499.2-0.011.4+0.01116192018124103.722HellfishWolves
Mermen13154-03195.7+0.04.2+0.0481318212110414.719at MisfitsMermen
MorleysDog1344-05193.3-0.01.7+0.0251015212615615.243LordStanleysCupMorleys Dog
Misfits8137-02-864.5+0.10.1-0.00124816352696.951MermenMisfits
LordStanleysCup6139-00-2136.9-0.10.0-0.00001392437267.754at MorleysDogLord Stanleys Cup
PondScum4110-02-3511.3+0.0No00002926638.560at WarhawksPond Scum

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/13
Warhawks 3 Misfits 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+0.4
+8.4
+0.4
SilverBullets+0.1
-2.8
-0.1
Hellfish+0.3
-1.9
Wolves+0.2
-1.6
Mermen+0.4
-1.2
MorleysDog+0.8
-0.5
Misfits-7.9
-0.5
-0.4
LordStanleysCup+3.7
+0.1
PondScum+2.1
PondScum 0 Hellfish 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+0.1
-2.0
-0.1
SilverBullets-1.4
-0.1
Hellfish+1.3
+5.5
+0.4
Wolves+0.1
-1.1
-0.1
Mermen+0.3
-0.8
-0.1
MorleysDog+0.7
-0.2
Misfits+2.0
-0.1
LordStanleysCup+1.0
+0.1
PondScum-5.5
-0.2
MorleysDog 4 Wolves 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+2.1
SilverBullets-0.1
+1.6
Hellfish-0.1
+1.0
Wolves-0.4
-6.8
-0.5
Mermen-0.2
+0.8
MorleysDog+4.8
+1.1
+0.5
Misfits-1.2
+0.1
LordStanleysCup-1.6
PondScum-1.1
DragonSlayers 10 StevesPizza 3
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PondScum*No
Week of 1/21
MorleysDog vs LordStanleysCupIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish99.5*99.499.3
Wolves99.4*99.299.1
11.0*11.511.6
3.8*3.73.6
Mermen96.4*95.695.0
MorleysDog97.794.988.5
2.7*1.50.7
4.85.25.6
Misfits68.3*64.060.6
LordStanleysCup26.635.847.2
8.07.77.4
PondScum12.3*11.310.6
8.4*8.58.5
Misfits vs MermenHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks37.6*37.236.2
SilverBullets27.0*26.725.9
Hellfish99.3*99.499.6
19.7*19.218.7
Wolves99.2*99.299.4
Mermen92.796.398.5
2.23.86.4
5.24.74.2
MorleysDog92.7*93.294.0
Misfits73.6*64.655.2
0.20.10.0
6.67.07.3
LordStanleysCup33.0*36.640.6
PondScum9.810.913.1
Warhawks vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks100.0*100.099.9
45.6*36.628.4
2.12.42.7
SilverBullets22.7*26.430.1
2.8*2.72.6
Hellfish16.9*19.721.4
3.3*3.23.1
Wolves99.3*99.399.2
9.7*11.412.9
3.8*3.73.6
Mermen96.1*95.595.3
3.7*4.14.9
MorleysDog93.8*93.392.8
1.3*1.62.1
Misfits66.3*65.062.4
LordStanleysCup38.3*36.935.3
7.6*7.77.8
PondScum7.010.915.9
8.68.58.3
Wolves vs HellfishHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks37.8*37.436.0
Hellfish99.099.699.8
12.0*18.726.6
3.73.22.7
Wolves99.799.498.8
17.310.65.5
3.23.74.2
Mermen4.4*4.44.1
MorleysDog1.8*1.71.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.