"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Beer Thrashers Playoff Chances WinterPlayoff201920 50/50
Lost to Brewers 2-3, playoff odds down 0.2 to 99.6%
19 points 9 5-0 1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| BeerThrashers 2 Brewers 3 | -0.2 | -8.7 | -0.3 | |||
| ElderSkatesmen 4 Phoenix 5 | -2.5 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Renegades vs Rogues | +2.7*+0.2-2.8 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| BluesBrothers vs Bulls | -2.1*+0.5+2.0 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the BeerThrashers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||||
| 36 | -37 | In | Yes | 100 | 2,163 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 99.4 | % | 99 | 1 | 6,522 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 99.8 | 100 | 0 | 1,270 | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 98.1 | 98 | 2 | 11,565 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 98.8 | 99 | 1 | 658 | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 92.7 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 26,285 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 93.5 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 9,086 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 97.5 | 98 | 2 | 204 | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 81.8 | 82 | 18 | 0 | 40,590 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 83.7 | 84 | 16 | 0 | 3,956 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | In | 82.2 | 82 | 18 | 45 | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 62.9 | 63 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 60,568 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 65.3 | 65 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 27,074 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 67.1 | 67 | 31 | 2 | 1,043 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | In | Yes | 100 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 40.6 | 41 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 80,997 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 41.7 | 42 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 10,117 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | In | 42.9 | 43 | 48 | 9 | 217 | * | |||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 19.1 | 19 | 52 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 91,125 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 19.7 | 20 | 52 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 44,996 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 20.2 | 20 | 51 | 26 | 2 | 2,190 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | In | 23.5 | 24 | 53 | 24 | 17 | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 5.6 | 6 | 37 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 100,411 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 5.9 | 6 | 37 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 13,359 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | In | 7.2 | 7 | 36 | 48 | 9 | 305 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | In | No | 100 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0.9 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 90,841 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0.9 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 45,124 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0.9 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 28 | 2 | 2,107 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | In | No | 13 | 58 | 21 | 8 | 24 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 81,109 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 10,042 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | In | 0.6 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 52 | 14 | 1 | 165 | * | ||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 15 | 53 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 60,427 | |||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 14 | 53 | 30 | 2 | 27,098 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | In | No | 1 | 13 | 53 | 31 | 3 | 1,107 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 6 | In | No | 100 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 2 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.9 | No | 0 | 3 | 36 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 40,219 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | No | 3 | 36 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 3,953 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | In | No | 2 | 36 | 56 | 6 | 50 | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 98.8 | No | 1 | 17 | 54 | 27 | 1 | 26,176 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 98.8 | No | 0 | 17 | 54 | 28 | 1 | 9,007 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 97.8 | No | 13 | 53 | 32 | 2 | 225 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 94.4 | No | 0 | 5 | 41 | 48 | 6 | 11,511 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 93.2 | No | 3 | 41 | 49 | 7 | 660 | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 1 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 81.0 | No | 1 | 23 | 57 | 19 | 0 | 6,579 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 83.1 | No | 1 | 23 | 59 | 17 | 0 | 1,287 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 63.2 | No | 9 | 54 | 35 | 1 | 1,431 | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 36.6 | No | 1 | 36 | 57 | 6 | 765 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 99.6 | % | 23.0 | % | 23 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 954,680 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:16 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
