Vipers Playoff Chances KBWinter201718
Lost to AnnasDiesel 1-7, playoff odds down 30.8 to 44.9%
0 points 0 1-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Vipers 1 AnnasDiesel 7 | -16.8 | -6.0 | -0.6 | |||
| Beavers 3 FHTP 5 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| FHTP vs NESHLKingston | -1.2-1.5+2.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| PlymouthCountyAllStars vs NESHLKingston | +0.5-0.6-1.0 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Chowder Cup | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Vipers vs NESHLKingston | +15.0+2.5-7.7 | +0.6-0.3No | +0.3+0.0-0.2 | |||
| Beavers vs NESHLKingston | -6.6-3.2+5.0 | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||
| Beavers vs NESHLKingston | -6.6-3.3+4.9 | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||
| PalmaDentalLab vs NESHLKingston | +1.7*-0.0-0.7 | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||
| AnnasDiesel vs NESHLKingston | +0.4-0.7-0.6 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| AnnasDiesel vs NESHLKingston | +0.4-0.7-0.6 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Vipers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Count | ||||||
| 6 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 10.7 | % | 13 | 61 | 26 | 0 | 1,253,330 | ||||||
| 5 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.1 | 0 | 28 | 61 | 10 | 1,305,183 | |||||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 97.1 | % | No | 3 | 42 | 51 | 3 | 8,047,213 | ||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 97.8 | No | 2 | 43 | 53 | 2 | 448,613 | ||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 73.7 | No | 9 | 65 | 26 | 5,462,253 | ||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 65.8 | No | 5 | 60 | 34 | 50,130 | |||||||||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 43.2 | No | 0 | 43 | 57 | 16,540,127 | ||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 25.0 | No | 25 | 75 | 902,489 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 5.3 | No | 5 | 95 | 5,401,529 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 100 | 10,728,571 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 44.9 | % | 0.3 | % | 0 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 55 | 50,139,438 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Vipers 1 AnnasDiesel 7 | +0.9 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| PlymouthCountyAllStars vs NESHLKingston | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Vipers vs NESHLKingston | -0.6-0.1+0.3 | |
| PalmaDentalLab vs NESHLKingston | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| 6 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 38 | 5 | ||||||
| 5 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 4 | |||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 2 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 62 | 27 | 1 | |||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 59 | 32 | 1 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 51 | 13 | |||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 64 | 16 | |||||||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 55 | 41 | |||||||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 24 | 76 | ||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 25 | ||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:26 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
