"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Eau Claire Aris vs St. Paul Twin S-5.0+0.3+10.9
-0.4+0.1+0.9
Madison 56ers vs Quad City Eagle-0.1+0.7-0.6
Milwaukee Bavar vs Quad City Eagle-0.1+0.7-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
St. Paul Twin S vs Madison 56ers+5.5-3.8-8.1
+0.5-0.3-0.8
St. Paul Twin S vs Milwaukee Bavar+5.5-3.8-8.1
+0.5-0.3-0.8
Minnesota Kings vs Milwaukee Bavar-0.1+0.7-0.6
Minnesota Kings vs Madison 56ers-0.1+0.7-0.6
Quad City Eagle vs Chicago Fire NP-0.1+0.7-0.6
Eau Claire Aris vs Minnesota Kings-0.1+0.7-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Paul Twin S finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins title1234567Count
32-36Yes10024,944*
3110-1-1100.0%100017,237
3010-0-299.9100027,679*
299-2-199.8100066,498
289-1-299.4991131,236*
278-3-198.79910211,522*
268-2-297.09730395,736*
258-1-391.69280382,272
7-4-195.89640234,052
247-3-287.4871200907,849*
237-2-375.07524101,132,407
6-5-184.985150246,072
226-4-267.6683020963,018*
7-1-454.75540500863,936
216-3-343.744479001,922,778
7-0-542.442461110442,151*
206-2-420.2205325202,171,783
5-5-232.532521510832,779*
195-4-311.01147366002,066,726
6-1-56.16384412101,382,848*
185-3-41.62235023203,063,218
4-6-24.7536461210492,061
6-0-60.5012463560317,280*
175-2-50.004334715102,686,250
4-5-30.30114438701,490,938*
164-4-40.001174930302,659,571
5-1-6No094141801,289,263
3-7-20.00330491710199,007*
154-3-5No0326502013,063,183
3-6-3No063745110675,833
5-0-7No011749303269,512*
144-2-6No007394592,169,656
3-5-4No0113473551,509,423*
133-4-5No022653192,066,601
4-1-7No0022153251,064,732*
123-3-6No00948421,920,853
2-6-4No00125038648,949*
113-2-7No0233651,132,944
2-5-5No043858857,897*
102-4-6No012277946,656
3-1-8No012080476,355*
92-3-7No001189732,784
1-6-5No01288240,234*
82-2-8No0595366,440
1-5-6No0694253,951*
71-4-7No0298356,622*
61-3-8No199193,945*
51-2-9No010096,076*
40-4-8No010041,133*
0-3No10038,431*
Total:14.3%1414141414141445,743,321

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship