St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Atlanta 0-1, playoff odds down 1.4 to 0.02%
3-5   .375

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St. Louis 0 Atlanta 1 -1.4
-1.9
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 -0.8
+0.1
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 -0.4
-0.1
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +0.4
-0.2
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 -0.2
+0.2
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+0.0Out
-0.2+0.1
Chicago vs St. LouisOut+0.0
-1.4+1.8
Washington vs Atlanta-0.2+0.1
Florida vs New York+0.1-0.2
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles+0.2-0.2
Cincinnati vs Houston+0.1-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
52-00.1%0313272718102003,574,105
41-1Out0523342313308,440,998
30-2Out114335124,969,345
Total:0.0%01366441217151911316,984,448
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs