San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Beat Pittsburgh 4-3, playoff odds up 28.6 to 56%
5-3   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 +16.6
+1.9
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 +4.5
+0.2
Colorado 7 Arizona 5 +3.8
+0.1
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +1.6
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.5
+0.1
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 -0.4
-0.1
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 -0.3
+0.1
St. Louis 0 Atlanta 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs Arizona+37.6-37.6
+2.2-2.2
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles+5.6-5.7
+0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+4.5-4.5
+0.1-0.1
Washington vs Atlanta+3.0-3.0
+0.1-0.1
Chicago vs St. Louis-1.3+1.3
Cincinnati vs Houston-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Colorado+0.8-0.8
Florida vs New York+0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
72-0In4743101,382,432
61-162.0%2152322201351002,761,922
50-20.101816212320911,383,134
Total:56.0%131814111087665205,527,488
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs