"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Pittsburgh 4-3, playoff odds up 35.3 to 63.1%
5-3   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 +18.8
+1.8
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 +9.0
+0.4
Colorado 7 Arizona 5 +3.3
+0.1
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +2.7
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 -0.8
+0.1
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.2
+0.1
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs Arizona+31.5-47.2
+1.5-2.3
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+6.9-4.8
+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles+5.1-6.4
+0.1-0.1
Washington vs Atlanta+2.5-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Houston-0.3+1.7
-0.0+0.2
Chicago vs St. Louis-0.5+0.6
Florida vs New York+0.3-0.5
+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Colorado+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
72-0In1564226,952,729
61-147.8%082614241892007,869,707
50-20.001919232018812,162,012
Total:63.1%63021711964321016,984,448
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs