Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Chicago 6-7, playoff odds down 4.1 to 95%
5-3   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 -1.1
-0.4
St. Louis 0 Atlanta 1 -0.6
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 -0.6
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.2
Colorado 7 Arizona 5 +0.1
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Los AngelesIn-6.3
+0.6-0.7
Washington vs Atlanta+2.7-1.6
+0.2-0.1
Florida vs New York-1.0+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Houston-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
72-0In768256,979,054
61-1In016848,031,517
50-257.1%57014712126101,973,877
Total:95.0%3355700011110016,984,448
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs