Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Houston 1-2, playoff odds down 23 to 15.5%
4-4   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 -24.9
-2.6
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 -3.2
-0.1
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +3.0
+0.1
Colorado 7 Arizona 5 +2.1
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 +1.0
+0.2
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 +0.2
St. Louis 0 Atlanta 1 -0.1
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles-15.5+19.5
-1.8+2.2
San Diego vs Arizona-4.8+7.2
-0.1+0.2
San Francisco vs Colorado+3.1-2.9
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+2.7-1.9
-0.1+0.1
Washington vs Atlanta+0.8-0.5
+0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Houston-0.2+0.9
Chicago vs St. Louis+0.3-0.4
Florida vs New York+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
62-061.0%1434132115204,317,419
51-10.00212242719114108,630,620
40-2Out0517402510204,036,409
Total:15.5%011136101314107610620016,984,448
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs