Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Beat Arizona 7-5, playoff odds up 2.5 to 8.5%
4-4   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colorado 7 Arizona 5 +6.0
+1.3
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 -1.1
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 -0.9
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 +0.6
+0.2
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +0.2
-0.2
St. Louis 0 Atlanta 1 +0.1
+0.2
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 -0.1
-0.2
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs ColoradoOut+8.5
-1.9+1.9
San Diego vs Arizona-1.9+1.9
+0.2-0.2
Cincinnati vs Houston-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles-0.9+0.9
+0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+0.8-0.8
-0.2+0.2
Florida vs New York-0.4+0.4
Chicago vs St. Louis-0.3+0.3
Washington vs Atlanta-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
62-034.0%051414362182001,381,173
51-1Out0412192222154102,762,920
40-2Out03153130201,383,395
Total:8.5%01449781011121110855,527,488
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs