Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2011

Beat San Francisco 7-0, playoff odds up 32.5 to 96.8%
6-2   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 +27.1
+1.2
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +4.9
+0.5
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 +3.7
+0.1
Colorado 7 Arizona 5 +3.2
+0.1
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 -3.0
-0.1
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs HoustonIn-19.0
+0.3-1.6
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+0.7-0.5
+0.5-0.4
Florida vs New York-0.5+0.8
Chicago vs St. Louis+0.1-0.2
San Francisco vs Colorado+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.1
Washington vs Atlanta-0.1+0.1
San Diego vs Arizona-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
82-0In10010,000,287
71-1In3416496,220,159
60-229.3%27713292811300764,002
Total:96.8%72601911000016,984,448
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs