Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Beat St. Louis 1-0, playoff odds up 8.7 to 12.5%
4-4   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St. Louis 0 Atlanta 1 +3.8
+1.9
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 +0.9
-0.1
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.5
+0.1
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +0.5
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 +0.3
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 -0.2
+0.1
Colorado 7 Arizona 5 +0.1
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Atlanta-11.9+11.9
-1.7+1.7
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+4.8-4.8
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles-3.1+3.1
+0.1-0.1
Florida vs New York-2.6+2.6
San Diego vs Arizona-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1
Chicago vs St. Louis-0.8+0.8
-0.2+0.2
Cincinnati vs Houston+0.8-0.8
+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Colorado-0.8+0.8
-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
62-048.7%19930261582001,384,106
51-10.615142220171273102,762,627
40-2Out03101727281121,380,755
Total:12.5%02289111311976677305,527,488
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs