"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2011

Beat St. Louis 1-0, playoff odds up 8.5 to 10.1%
4-4   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday, 4/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St. Louis 0 Atlanta 1 +2.3
+2.1
Milwaukee 1 Florida 3 +0.9
-0.2
Chicago 7 Philadelphia 6 +0.4
-0.1
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 7 -0.3
+0.1
New York 6 Washington 7 +0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh 3 San Diego 4 +0.1
Houston 2 Los Angeles 1 -0.1
+0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday, 4/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Atlanta-10.0+5.9
-1.9+1.1
Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee+8.5-5.9
-0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles-2.4+3.0
+0.2-0.2
Florida vs New York-1.1+1.9
-0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Arizona-0.7+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Chicago vs St. Louis-0.5+0.6
-0.2+0.2
Cincinnati vs Houston+0.1-0.8
+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Colorado-0.4+0.4
-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
62-034.7%04525371791004,928,253
51-10.103101922201493008,666,467
40-2Out1719253115303,389,728
Total:10.1%01271210131210987631016,984,448
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs