Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to NY Jets 24-37, playoff odds down 25.1 to 0%
8-0-8   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England 41 Miami 13 +13.9
+0.9
Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16 +8.0
+0.6
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31 -4.9
-0.3
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13 +3.4
+0.2
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27 -2.2
-0.2
Kansas City 31 Oakland 13 +2.0
+0.1
Baltimore 20 Jacksonville 12 -1.0
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10 -0.5
-0.0
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38 *-0.1
San Diego 10 Denver 22 -0.1
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30 +0.0
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami 37 Minnesota 35 -18.4
-0.8
Oakland 26 Buffalo 24 -15.5
-0.7
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 +11.7
+0.5
Houston 25 Baltimore 13 -10.6
-0.5
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20 +5.3
+0.3
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12 -4.0
-0.2
NY Jets 16 New England 17 +3.5
+0.2
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7 +3.4
+0.2
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 +2.6
+0.2
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37 +2.0
+0.1
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13 +1.8
+0.1
Cincinnati 37 Denver 28 -0.0
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami 24 NY Jets 37 +25.1
+1.0
Houston 23 Jacksonville 17 -20.5
-0.5
Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10 +4.8
+0.3
Kansas City 19 San Diego 7 +4.7
-0.1
New England 9 Buffalo 17 -4.7
-0.2
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20 *-0.1
Tennessee 10 Indianapolis 27 -0.1
Denver 47 Oakland 17 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
80-0-0Out1001,195,888
Total:Out1001,195,888
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/11100.0*Lottery seed
New England 41 Miami 13 -1.5
Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16 -1.2
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13 -0.7
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31 +0.7
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17 -0.1
San Diego 10 Denver 22 +0.1
Kansas City 31 Oakland 13 -0.1
NY Giants 24 Washington 13 +0.0
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30 -0.0
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10 +0.0
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7 +0.0
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38 +0.0
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27 -0.0
Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 37 Minnesota 35 +1.0
Oakland 26 Buffalo 24 +1.0
Houston 25 Baltimore 13 +0.8
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 -0.8
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.8
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20 -0.5
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12 +0.4
Chicago 14 Detroit 20 +0.3
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37 -0.3
Cincinnati 37 Denver 28 +0.2
NY Jets 16 New England 17 -0.2
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30 +0.1
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7 +0.1
Arizona 6 Seattle 35 +0.1
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 -0.1
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13 -0.0
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 24 NY Jets 37 -1.2
Houston 23 Jacksonville 17 +0.7
Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10 -0.4
NY Giants 26 Philadelphia 34 +0.2
New England 9 Buffalo 17 +0.2
Kansas City 19 San Diego 7 +0.1
Atlanta 3 Carolina 34 -0.1
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20 -0.1
Tennessee 10 Indianapolis 27 +0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
80-0-0100
Total:100