Washington Redskins Title Chances 2014

Beat Philadelphia 27-24, lottery seed up 1.9 to 19.5
4-0-11   .267

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 +1.5
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 +0.4
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Houston vs Baltimore-0.8-0.0+0.5
Dallas vs Indianapolis-0.6+0.1+0.4
St. Louis vs NY Giants+0.3+0.0-0.6
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.3+0.0-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.6-0.4+0.0
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.4+0.2-0.2
Miami vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.3
Carolina vs Cleveland+0.1+0.2-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-0.1+0.2+0.1
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.2*+0.0+0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta+0.0-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Detroit+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Dallas+2.4+0.9-0.3
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.2+0.7+1.2
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.8-0.1+0.3
Green Bay vs Detroit-0.1+0.0+0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.3-0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.2-0.0
Seattle vs St. Louis+0.0+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+0.0*-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.1+0.0+0.0
Kansas City vs San Diego+0.0-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
51-0-000212121621171162100
4.50-1-002929191514831000
40-0-10000027213717104200000
Total:00000261934171163210000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship