SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Seattle Seahawks Title Chances 2014 50/50

Did not play, title odds down 0.7 to 65.4%

10-0-4 .714

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/18	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24	-0.8		+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Arizona vs Seattle	-21.9-16.3+22.1		-0.5-0.4+0.6
Dallas vs Indianapolis	-9.4-3.1+9.4		-0.2-0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Detroit	+4.7-11.6-4.6		+0.2-0.3-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay	+4.8-10.8-4.7		+0.2-0.3-0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs St. Louis	+22.1-15.9-21.9		+0.6-0.5-0.5
Washington vs Dallas	+9.4-3.8-9.3		+0.2-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance		Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

12		2	-	0	-	0	In						87	13											296,594
11	.5	1	-	1	-	0	87.1	%					37	50	13										4,694
11		1	-	0	-	1	74.8						37	38	25	0									593,215
		0	-	2	-	0	85.0						50	35	15										20
10	.5	0	-	1	-	1	11.3						0	11	52	37									4,731
10		0	-	0	-	2	12.3							12	44	44									296,634

Total:							65.4	%					40	25	24	11									1,195,888

Games Above .500

Chance Will Win Championship

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38	+0.6
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13	-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Arizona vs Seattle	-1.1-0.1+1.1
Carolina vs Cleveland	-0.6-0.4+0.6
Dallas vs Indianapolis	-0.5-0.2+0.5
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay	+0.4-0.2-0.4
St. Louis vs NY Giants	-0.4-0.1+0.4
Oakland vs Buffalo	-0.3*-0.0+0.3
Miami vs Minnesota	+0.2-0.2-0.2
Cincinnati vs Denver	+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Detroit	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Baltimore	-0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs St. Louis	+1.2-0.0-1.2
Atlanta vs Carolina	+0.6-0.3-0.6
Green Bay vs Detroit	-0.6-0.3+0.6
Denver vs Oakland	-0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Chicago	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans	+0.0-0.2-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Jacksonville	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs San Diego	-0.0-0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Cleveland	+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

12		2	-	0	-	0			0	1	6	12	16	18	16	12	9	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
11	.5	1	-	1	-	0			0	5	16	23	19	14	11	6	3	2	0	0	0	0
11		1	-	0	-	1		0	4	18	28	24	14	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
		0	-	2	-	0				10	50	15	20		5
10	.5	0	-	1	-	1		2	15	32	29	14	5	2	1	0	0
10		0	-	0	-	2		8	31	38	17	4	1	0	0	0

Total:								2	10	19	20	16	11	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0