New England Patriots Title Chances 2014 50/50

Did not play, lottery seed down 0.8 to 10.1
11-0-3   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.7
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 -0.1
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NY Jets vs New England-1.4+0.0+1.4
Oakland vs Buffalo+0.9+0.1-0.9
Dallas vs Indianapolis+0.9-0.3-0.9
Miami vs Minnesota-0.6*+0.0+0.6
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.5-0.1+0.5
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+0.5-0.2-0.5
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.3-0.0-0.3
St. Louis vs NY Giants+0.3-0.1-0.3
Chicago vs Detroit-0.3-0.1+0.3
Houston vs Baltimore-0.0-0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Cleveland-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Buffalo+1.6+0.0-1.6
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+0.8-0.1-0.8
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.7-0.2-0.7
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2+0.1-0.2
Minnesota vs Chicago+0.2-0.1-0.2
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.1-0.2-0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.2-0.0
NY Giants vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Dallas-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Detroit-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Carolina+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Diego-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
132-0-00011361015202013831000
12.51-1-00235811141817136310
121-0-100258111315151410510000
0-2-011666111717226
11.50-1-10161215171513973100
110-0-2026131919151174210
Total:00247910101111111084210000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship