New England Patriots Title Chances 2014

Did not play, lottery seed down 0.6 to 11.1
11-0-3   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.6
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 -0.1
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NY Jets vs New England-3.2-1.5+0.1
Dallas vs Indianapolis+1.1-0.1-0.9
Oakland vs Buffalo+1.6+1.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.9-0.3+0.4
Miami vs Minnesota-0.3+0.4+1.0
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+1.1+0.3-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.5-0.2-0.5
Chicago vs Detroit-0.5-0.3+0.1
St. Louis vs NY Giants+0.2-0.2-0.4
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Houston vs Baltimore-0.1-0.2+0.1
Carolina vs Cleveland-0.1+0.2+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Buffalo+0.7-1.2-3.3
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+0.6-0.6-1.3
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+1.6+0.7-0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.3+0.2-0.1
Minnesota vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.3
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.0-0.4-0.3
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.0-0.2+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0+0.2+0.2
NY Giants vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs San Diego-0.0+0.2+0.1
Atlanta vs Carolina+0.0-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Detroit-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Washington vs Dallas-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Denver vs Oakland+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
132-0-0001381315181714730000
12.51-1-001481216161513941000
121-0-1011115171814118421000
0-2-0271720171078725
11.50-1-121127191512842100
110-0-20931271610521000
Total:000234691214161411520000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship