National Football Conference Title Chances 2014 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed
	G	W	-	D	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

Arizona	1	11	-	0	-	3	.786	43	In			100																1.0		3	Arizona Cardinals
Carolina	1	5	-	1	-	8	.393	-70	In				53	25	22													2.7		25	Carolina Panthers
Chicago	1	5	-	0	-	9	.357	-113	In				25	50	25													3.0		23	Chicago Bears
Atlanta	1	5	-	0	-	9	.357	-21	In				22	25	53													3.3		26	Atlanta Falcons
Seattle	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	97	65.4	%	-0.7					40	25	24	11									6.1	+0.05	4	Seattle Seahawks
Detroit	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	43	57.7		-0.1					26	32	21	21									6.4	+0.06	7	Detroit Lions

Dallas	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	53	39.4		+4.2					14	26	32	29									6.8	+0.16	14	Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	111	37.6		-1.0					20	17	23	39									6.8	+0.05	5	Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia		9	-	0	-	6	.600	66	Out		-2.4									100								9.0	-0.26	15	Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco		7	-	0	-	8	.467	-37	Out												71	21	7	1				10.4	-0.22	16	San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans	1	6	-	0	-	8	.429	-10	Out												13	41	26	18	2			11.6	+0.04	19	New Orleans Saints
Minnesota	1	6	-	0	-	8	.429	-20	Out												9	20	34	31	5			12.0	+0.08	22	Minnesota Vikings
St. Louis	1	6	-	0	-	8	.429	-6	Out												7	15	22	26	30			12.6	+0.06	18	St. Louis Rams
NY Giants	1	5	-	0	-	9	.357	-22	Out													3	11	24	63			13.5	-0.01	24	New York Giants
Washington		4	-	0	-	11	.267	-110	Out																	88	12	15.1	+0.19	29	Washington Redskins
Tampa Bay	1	2	-	0	-	12	.143	-113	Out																	12	88	15.9	-0.19	31	Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 12/18
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	-0.8		+0.0
Detroit			+0.1
Dallas	+4.2		+0.2
Green Bay	-1.1		+0.1
Philadelphia	Out		-0.4
San Francisco			+0.1
Washington			+0.2
Tampa Bay			-0.2

San Francisco 35 San Diego 38
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+0.1
San Francisco			-0.2
Minnesota			+0.1
St. Louis			+0.1

Arizona vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	43.449.087.4		6.66.55.5
Detroit	62.362.653.0		6.26.26.6
Dallas	50.344.728.3		6.66.76.9
Green Bay	43.943.731.3		6.66.67.0

Chicago vs DetroitHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.92.52.5
Chicago			2.63.43.4
Atlanta			3.53.23.1
Seattle	70.053.860.8		5.96.36.2
Detroit	40.451.375.0		6.96.55.9
Dallas	45.652.033.0		6.66.57.0
Green Bay	44.042.931.3		6.76.76.9

Tampa Bay vs Green BayHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	70.154.660.7		5.96.36.2
Detroit	65.449.949.9		6.36.56.5
Dallas	45.644.033.0		6.56.77.0
Green Bay	18.851.656.4		7.46.56.2
Washington			15.215.015.0
Tampa Bay			15.816.016.0

Dallas vs IndianapolisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	56.062.374.7		6.36.15.9
Detroit	49.850.465.6		6.66.66.2
Dallas	56.749.421.9		6.46.57.2

St. Louis vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.510.510.3
New Orleans			11.711.811.4
Minnesota			12.112.212.0
St. Louis			11.711.813.4
NY Giants			14.013.812.9

New Orleans vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.62.82.8
Chicago			2.83.23.2
Atlanta			3.63.03.0
San Francisco			10.510.510.3
New Orleans			11.011.912.1
Minnesota			12.211.811.8
St. Louis			12.812.412.4
NY Giants			13.513.413.4

Miami vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.310.510.5
New Orleans			11.411.811.8
Minnesota			12.511.911.5
St. Louis			12.412.512.7

Carolina vs ClevelandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.42.63.0
Chicago			3.23.32.8
Atlanta			3.43.13.2

Week of 12/28
Green Bay vs DetroitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit	24.8*58.790.5		7.16.35.6
Dallas	40.855.937.7		6.86.46.7
Green Bay	68.940.86.3		6.06.77.6

Washington vs DallasHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	74.761.556.0		5.96.26.3
Detroit	65.550.049.9		6.26.66.6
Dallas	12.750.265.9		7.46.56.1
Green Bay	47.1*38.428.2		6.6*6.87.1
Washington			15.015.015.2
Tampa Bay			16.016.015.8

Seattle vs St. LouisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	87.449.443.4		5.56.56.6
Detroit	52.863.062.4		6.66.26.2
Dallas	28.444.750.3		6.96.76.6
Green Bay	31.442.943.9		7.06.76.6
San Francisco			10.310.510.5
New Orleans			11.411.711.8
Minnesota			11.812.212.2
St. Louis			13.212.011.9
NY Giants			13.313.613.6

Minnesota vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.52.52.9
Chicago			3.43.42.6
Atlanta			3.13.13.5
San Francisco			10.510.510.3
New Orleans			11.811.711.4
Minnesota			11.411.812.7
St. Louis			12.812.512.3
NY Giants			13.613.413.4

Tampa Bay vs New OrleansHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.310.510.5
New Orleans			12.111.811.0
Minnesota			11.811.912.2
St. Louis			12.412.412.8
NY Giants			13.413.413.5
Washington			15.215.015.0
Tampa Bay			15.816.016.0

Atlanta vs CarolinaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			3.22.42.1
Chicago			3.03.43.0
Atlanta			2.73.23.9

San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.010.810.8
New Orleans			11.711.411.4
Minnesota			12.111.911.9
St. Louis			12.712.512.4

NY Giants vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			11.611.611.5
Minnesota			12.212.011.9
St. Louis			12.712.512.5
NY Giants			13.213.513.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.