National Football Conference Title Chances 2014

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed
	G	W	-	D	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Arizona	1	11	-	0	-	3	.786	43	In			100																1.0		3	.668	Arizona Cardinals
Carolina	1	5	-	1	-	8	.393	-70	In				45	42	12													2.7		25	.269	Carolina Panthers
Atlanta	1	5	-	0	-	9	.357	-21	In				45	30	24													2.8		26	.428	Atlanta Falcons
Chicago	1	5	-	0	-	9	.357	-113	In				9	27	63													3.5		23	.187	Chicago Bears
Seattle	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	97	75.2	%	-1.6					50	25	20	5									5.8	+0.02	4	.805	Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	111	71.6		-0.7					36	36	5	23									6.2		5	.802	Green Bay Packers

Detroit	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	43	27.8		+0.0					11	17	40	32									6.9	+0.07	7	.669	Detroit Lions
Dallas	1	10	-	0	-	4	.714	53	25.4		+2.6					3	22	36	39									7.1	+0.09	14	.675	Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia		9	-	0	-	6	.600	66	Out		-0.3									100								9.0	-0.19	15	.699	Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco		7	-	0	-	8	.467	-37	Out												54	35	10	1				10.6	-0.20	16	.364	San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans	1	6	-	0	-	8	.429	-10	Out												36	45	13	6	0			10.9	+0.11	19	.466	New Orleans Saints
Minnesota	1	6	-	0	-	8	.429	-20	Out												7	15	61	16	0			11.9	+0.07	22	.422	Minnesota Vikings
St. Louis	1	6	-	0	-	8	.429	-6	Out												3	5	14	48	30			13.0	+0.02	18	.477	St. Louis Rams
NY Giants	1	5	-	0	-	9	.357	-22	Out													0	2	28	69			13.7		24	.420	New York Giants
Washington		4	-	0	-	11	.267	-110	Out																	99	1	15.0	+0.21	29	.185	Washington Redskins
Tampa Bay	1	2	-	0	-	12	.143	-113	Out																	1	99	16.0	-0.21	31	.174	Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 12/18
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	-1.8
Green Bay	-0.8
Detroit			+0.1
Dallas	+2.8		+0.1
Philadelphia	Out		-0.2
Washington			+0.2
Tampa Bay			-0.2

San Francisco 35 San Diego 38
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			-0.2
New Orleans			+0.1
Minnesota			+0.1

Tampa Bay vs Green BayIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	85.269.174.6		5.66.05.8
Green Bay	2.361.075.6		7.86.46.1
Detroit	64.325.825.7		6.37.07.0
Dallas	48.344.124.0		6.36.67.2
Washington			15.215.015.0
Tampa Bay			15.816.016.0

Arizona vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	49.455.893.9		6.66.55.2
Green Bay	72.0*71.571.3		5.85.86.4
Detroit	31.331.125.3		6.86.87.1
Dallas	47.441.69.6		6.96.97.3

Dallas vs IndianapolisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	57.057.689.3		6.06.05.6
Green Bay	71.4*71.871.7
Detroit	22.622.931.8		7.37.36.7
Dallas	49.047.77.1		6.56.67.5

Chicago vs DetroitHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			3.02.62.6
Atlanta			3.22.72.7
Chicago			2.73.73.7
Seattle	64.759.577.0		5.96.05.8
Green Bay	72.3*72.271.5
Detroit	15.420.129.9		7.57.46.8
Dallas	47.648.221.7		6.56.57.2

St. Louis vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.610.610.5
New Orleans			10.911.010.8
Minnesota			11.912.011.8
St. Louis			12.512.513.9
NY Giants			14.013.913.0

New Orleans vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.62.92.9
Atlanta			3.02.32.3
Chicago			3.43.83.8
San Francisco			10.810.710.2
New Orleans			10.511.111.6
Minnesota			12.011.711.7
St. Louis			13.112.912.8

Miami vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.411.011.0
New Orleans			10.811.211.2
Minnesota			12.211.211.0
St. Louis			12.912.913.1

Carolina vs ClevelandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.32.83.0
Atlanta			3.12.42.6
Chicago			3.73.83.4

Week of 12/28
Green Bay vs DetroitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	74.451.177.9		5.86.65.8
Green Bay	94.736.00.7		5.66.87.8
Detroit	6.068.694.7		7.46.25.6
Dallas	24.944.326.7		7.26.56.8

Seattle vs St. LouisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	82.237.833.6		5.66.97.0
Green Bay	71.372.973.0		6.25.75.7
Detroit	25.342.142.2		7.06.66.6
Dallas	21.147.251.1		7.26.86.7
San Francisco			10.511.011.0
New Orleans			10.911.211.2
Minnesota			11.812.312.3
St. Louis			13.211.711.7
NY Giants			13.613.913.9

Washington vs DallasHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	92.0*75.773.0		5.65.85.8
Green Bay	73.7*72.571.3		5.96.06.2
Detroit	31.8*27.727.3		6.67.07.0
Dallas	2.524.128.4		7.97.27.0

Minnesota vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.62.63.0
Atlanta			2.72.73.2
Chicago			3.73.72.7
San Francisco			10.610.610.4
New Orleans			10.910.910.8
Minnesota			11.712.312.7
St. Louis			13.112.612.6
NY Giants			13.713.613.6

Atlanta vs CarolinaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			2.92.22.0
Atlanta			2.53.03.8
Chicago			3.63.83.2

Tampa Bay vs New OrleansHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.210.710.7
New Orleans			11.811.310.6
Minnesota			11.611.612.0
St. Louis			12.812.813.1

San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco			10.010.810.8
New Orleans			11.310.810.8
Minnesota			12.011.811.8
St. Louis			13.113.013.0

NY Giants vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
NY Giants			13.613.613.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.