Indianapolis Colts Title Chances 2014 50/50

Did not play, lottery seed up 0.2 to 25.8
10-0-4   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 +0.2
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.1
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Carolina vs Cleveland+1.1+0.1-1.1
Houston vs Baltimore-0.8+0.1+0.8
NY Jets vs New England+0.7+0.4-0.7
Dallas vs Indianapolis-0.6+0.1+0.6
St. Louis vs NY Giants+0.6+0.2-0.6
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.5+0.2-0.5
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+0.1+0.5-0.1
Miami vs Minnesota-0.2+0.3+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-0.2+0.2+0.2
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Chicago vs Detroit+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.0+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-1.3+0.0+1.3
New England vs Buffalo-0.7+0.3+0.7
Denver vs Oakland-0.7+0.4+0.7
NY Giants vs Philadelphia+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Atlanta vs Carolina-0.1+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Detroit+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Washington vs Dallas+0.0+0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs San Diego-0.1+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs St. Louis-0.1*+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
122-0-00001247111521271010
11.51-1-00013579131721185
111-0-10023681012151715102
0-2-055102510201510
10.50-1-1013681112131515961
100-0-20013610121313131210620
Total:0001246891113151412300
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship