Houston Texans Title Chances 2014 50/50

Did not play, lottery seed down 0.08 to 31.4
7-0-7   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Houston vs Baltimore+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-0.2+0.1+0.2
Carolina vs Cleveland+0.1+0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Detroit+0.1+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta+0.1+0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs NY Giants+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Jacksonville+0.3+0.1-0.3
Washington vs Dallas+0.2*-0.0-0.2
New England vs Buffalo+0.1+0.0-0.1
Denver vs Oakland+0.1+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.1+0.1+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-011584
8.51-1-033067
81-0-10094645
0-2-0252550
7.50-1-100145926
70-0-20001236412
Total:0000104346
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship