Green Bay Packers Title Chances 2014Did not play, title odds down 0.7 to 71.6% 10-0-4 .714 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 | -0.8 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Tampa Bay vs Green Bay | -69.3-10.6+4.0 | | -1.6-0.2+0.1 | | Chicago vs Detroit | +0.7*+0.6-0.1 | | | | Arizona vs Seattle | +0.4*-0.1-0.3 | | +0.4+0.4-0.3 | | Dallas vs Indianapolis | -0.2*+0.3+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | Green Bay vs Detroit | +23.1-35.6-70.9 | | +0.5-0.6-1.7 | | Washington vs Dallas | +2.1*+0.9-0.3 | | +0.2+0.1-0.0 | | Seattle vs St. Louis | -0.2+1.3+1.4 | | -0.1+0.4+0.5 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Green Bay finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | | TW | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 2,544,662 | | 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 57.1 | % | | | | | 16 | 41 | 34 | 9 | | | | | | | | | 23,814 | | 11 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | | | | | | | | | 967,599 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 3.4 | | | | | | | 3 | 22 | 75 | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | | | | | | | | | 4,165 | | 10 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 47,365 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 71.6 | % | | | | | 36 | 36 | 5 | 23 | | | | | | | | | 3,587,664 | |
Chance Will Win Championship
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 12/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 | +1.1 | | Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 | +0.1 | | San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 | -0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Arizona vs Seattle | +0.9+0.4-0.6 | | Oakland vs Buffalo | +1.0+0.8-0.1 | | Tampa Bay vs Green Bay | -0.9-0.5+0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs Kansas City | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | | Carolina vs Cleveland | -0.4-0.1+0.3 | | Cincinnati vs Denver | +0.5+0.4-0.3 | | Miami vs Minnesota | +0.2-0.1-0.5 | | St. Louis vs NY Giants | -0.1+0.3+0.2 | | Houston vs Baltimore | -0.1+0.3+0.0 | | Chicago vs Detroit | +0.3+0.1-0.0 | | Dallas vs Indianapolis | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | | NY Jets vs New England | -0.1+0.0*+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Green Bay vs Detroit | +0.6-0.7-2.0 | | NY Giants vs Philadelphia | +1.4+0.7-0.6 | | Seattle vs St. Louis | -0.3+0.9+1.5 | | San Francisco vs Arizona | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | Minnesota vs Chicago | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | | Washington vs Dallas | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | Atlanta vs Carolina | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | | Baltimore vs Cleveland | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | | Tampa Bay vs New Orleans | -0.1-0.2+0.0 | | New England vs Buffalo | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Tennessee vs Indianapolis | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Kansas City vs San Diego | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 11 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 14 | 15 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 10 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | |
|