Denver Broncos Title Chances 2014 50/50

Did not play, lottery seed down 0.7 to 5.7
11-0-3   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.7
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cincinnati vs Denver-1.0-0.1+1.0
Dallas vs Indianapolis+0.8-0.2-0.8
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.7-0.2-0.7
Miami vs Minnesota-0.5*-0.1+0.5
St. Louis vs NY Giants-0.4-0.0+0.4
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.3*-0.1+0.3
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.2-0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Baltimore-0.0-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Cleveland+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Oakland+1.0-0.1-1.0
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+0.6-0.1-0.6
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.6-0.2-0.6
Minnesota vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0+0.1-0.0
New England vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.0-0.1-0.0
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.0-0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
132-0-000391517161410742100
12.51-1-0021021211612853100
121-0-117212819116321000
0-2-0291938555
11.50-1-151729271352100
110-0-213283020620000
Total:41119211510753211000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship