Denver Broncos Title Chances 2014

Did not play, lottery seed down 0.8 to 6.7
11-0-3   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.8
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cincinnati vs Denver-1.7-0.7+0.8
Dallas vs Indianapolis+1.3-0.2-1.0
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.8-0.4-0.9
Miami vs Minnesota-0.3+0.3+1.0
St. Louis vs NY Giants-0.4+0.1+0.7
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.4-0.2+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.4-0.2+0.0
Chicago vs Detroit-0.3-0.2+0.1
Houston vs Baltimore-0.0-0.2+0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.2+0.0-0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.0-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Oakland+0.1-1.3-2.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+1.6+0.6-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+0.5-0.6-1.0
Minnesota vs Chicago+0.1-0.3-0.4
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2+0.2-0.1
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.0-0.2+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0+0.1+0.3
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.0-0.3-0.1
New England vs Buffalo+0.0-0.2-0.2
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.1-0.1-0.0
Washington vs Dallas-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Kansas City vs San Diego+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
132-0-000713151615129741000
12.51-1-032320171611621000
121-0-1010381914125200000
0-2-012402116732
11.50-1-10254515951000
110-0-21453994100
Total:04181515141286421000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship