Cleveland Browns Title Chances 2014

Did not play, lottery seed up 0.3 to 28
7-0-7   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 +0.3
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.8-0.0+0.4
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-0.5-0.0+0.6
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.9-0.4+0.1
Dallas vs Indianapolis+0.5+0.2-0.4
Houston vs Baltimore+0.5+0.1-0.4
Carolina vs Cleveland-0.4+0.0+0.3
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.2-0.2+0.0
St. Louis vs NY Giants-0.1-0.0+0.2
Miami vs Minnesota-0.0-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Detroit+0.1+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*-0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs New England-0.1-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.1+0.7+1.1
Denver vs Oakland+0.0-0.7-1.2
New England vs Buffalo+0.2-0.5-1.0
Green Bay vs Detroit+0.1-0.1-0.3
NY Giants vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.1+0.0-0.0
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Diego-0.0-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Carolina-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.0+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-000011753344
8.51-1-0011241562151
81-0-1000012347215280
0-2-04497842
7.50-1-1000013348215810
70-0-20000124591533310
Total:00000134610254460
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship