Atlanta Falcons Title Chances 2014

Did not play, average seed unchanged at 2.8
5-0-9   .357

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.2+0.5+0.5
Carolina vs Cleveland-0.3+0.4+0.2
Chicago vs Detroit-0.5+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Carolina+0.3-0.2-1.0
Minnesota vs Chicago+0.1+0.1-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-Lwins title12345678910111213141516Count
72-0-0In982923,794
6.51-1-0In8416015,338
61-0-1In3551152,073,250
0-2-0In47351851
5.50-1-1In712912,542
50-0-2In100562,689
Total:In4530243,587,664
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship