Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 19%
0-0-2   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Chicago+6.8*-0.2-6.8
+1.1*+0.1-1.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh-0.9*+1.3+0.9
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay+0.3*-0.9-0.3
Dallas vs Atlanta+0.3*-0.5-0.3
Minnesota vs San Diego-0.3*+0.4+0.3
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.3*-0.3+0.3
Detroit vs Denver-0.0*+0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Detroit+6.7*-0.2-6.7
+1.1*+0.0-1.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.4*+0.9+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.3*+0.5+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota+0.2*+1.1-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In97359
13.513-1-0In1002
1313-0-1In91800394
12.512-1-1In97334
1212-0-2In73222402,660
11-2-1In50504
11.511-1-2In652546256
1111-0-3In343712114110,267
10-2-2In4343147
10.510-1-399.9%18361732340871
9-3-2In1001
1010-0-497.9520258281220028,397
9-2-393.3323307273730
9.59-1-492.71921132723612,270
99-0-564.902101413262110310056,955
8-2-469.2216111623218291
8.58-1-535.70310419292410204,080
7-3-425.025754
88-0-611.401515132324188200085,916
7-2-511.8661722231485144
7.57-1-62.1020021023292192005,271
6-3-516.717173317176
77-0-70.601000271625251661097,634
6-2-6Out35193424961135
6.56-1-70.0001414273118505,515
5-3-6Out3333333
66-0-80.00001413263120685,151
5-2-7Out114102731233143
5.55-1-8Out03133435153,986
4-3-7Out1001
55-0-9Out001520413456,893
4-2-8Out1018442861
4.54-1-9Out1835562,181
3-3-8Out1001
44-0-10Out003257128,522
3-2-9Out3267138
3.53-1-10Out11584854
33-0-11Out089210,306
2-2-10Out10011
2.52-1-11Out298225
22-0-12Out1992,567
1-2-11Out1002
1.51-1-12Out10038
11-0-13Out0100368
0-0.5Out10078*
Total:19.0%2233455667789101112492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Chicago-2.1+0.1+2.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.1-0.5+0.1
Dallas vs Atlanta-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.0+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs San Diego-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Denver-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+0.0*+0.2-0.0
New England vs Jacksonville-0.0*-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.0*-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Detroit-2.1+0.3+2.1
Denver vs Minnesota+0.1-0.3-0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland-0.1+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09523
13.513-1-0100
1313-0-18110800
12.512-1-185123
1212-0-24627201240
11-2-1252550
11.511-1-2323422346
1111-0-382625131111013210
10-2-2434314
10.510-1-311718181423203300
9-3-2100
1010-0-4054161411711413111200
9-2-3323201033171037
9.59-1-4108713102918184610
99-0-500219771129171910410000
8-2-421154731341916842
8.58-1-50033804217112019103100
7-3-42575
88-0-600115010539141715139521000
7-2-566310171512137722
7.57-1-6002000026142124179310
6-3-51717173317
77-0-7001000001481317171612841000
6-2-6148142117168731
6.56-1-700151018242113510
5-3-6333333
66-0-800001371319211811510
5-2-71461515231713311
5.55-1-80131121302392
4-3-7100
55-0-900014112229249
4-2-822153328183
4.54-1-9016214130
3-3-8100
44-0-10002133747
3-2-984250
3.53-1-10032373
33-0-11011584
2-2-10100
2.52-1-11793
22-0-120297
1-2-11100
1.51-1-12100
11-0-13199
0-0.5100
Total:11121212122333333334444444555567