SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 2015

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 5.4%

0-0-2 .000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Seattle vs Chicago	+1.8-1.2-2.9		+0.7-0.3-1.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh	-0.3*+0.5+0.5		-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay	+0.2*+0.3-0.2		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego	-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Carolina vs New Orleans	-0.1*-0.2+0.2		+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Atlanta	+0.1*-0.6-0.2
NY Jets vs Philadelphia			+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Denver			-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco			+0.0-0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs Detroit	+1.8*-0.8-3.0		+0.7-0.2-1.1
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.1*+0.2-0.3		+0.0*-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.2*+0.2+0.2
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.1*-0.3+0.2
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.1*+0.3-0.2		+0.0*+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Dallas			-0.1-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland			-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14		14	-	0	-	0	In		97	3															125
13		13	-	0	-	1	In		77	21	2														91
12	.5	12	-	1	-	1	In		64	21	7		7												14
12		12	-	0	-	2	In		45	37	8	0	9	0											896
		11	-	2	-	1	In			50			50												2
11	.5	11	-	1	-	2	In		26	46	13		15												112
11		11	-	0	-	3	99.8	%	12	32	24	5	24	3	0										5,648
		10	-	2	-	2	In			20	60		20												5
10	.5	10	-	1	-	3	99.0		4	19	30	8	29	10	1										596
10		10	-	0	-	4	93.5		1	8	20	13	30	22	6	1	0								24,158
		9	-	2	-	3	In				24	24	32	20											25
9	.5	9	-	1	-	4	82.5		0	2	11	13	21	36	15	2	0	0							2,474
		8	-	3	-	3	50.0					50				50									2
9		9	-	0	-	5	52.9		0	0	4	10	10	28	28	14	4	0	0						73,325
		8	-	2	-	4	47.3				2	8	8	30	32	18	2	1							91
8	.5	8	-	1	-	5	23.7				1	5	2	16	34	28	12	2	0	0					6,469
		7	-	3	-	4	Out									100									1
8		8	-	0	-	6	7.6			0	0	2	0	5	16	28	27	15	5	1	0	0			162,917
		7	-	2	-	5	5.0					1		4	13	26	37	15	4		0				238
7	.5	7	-	1	-	6	1.0					0	0	1	4	17	31	29	13	3	0				12,602
		6	-	3	-	5	Out										33	67							3
7		7	-	0	-	7	0.2				0	0	0	0	1	5	15	26	28	18	6	1	0	0	268,928
		6	-	2	-	6	Out								0	4	15	28	28	18	6	1			419
6	.5	6	-	1	-	7	0.0					0			0	0	4	14	29	30	17	4	1	0	17,759
		5	-	3	-	6	Out										10	10	30	40	10				10
6		6	-	0	-	8	0.0					0			0	0	1	4	14	27	30	18	5	1	332,147
		5	-	2	-	7	Out										1	3	12	28	32	18	5	0	487
5	.5	5	-	1	-	8	Out										0	0	4	15	31	33	15	2	18,709
		4	-	3	-	7	Out													13	50	25	13		8
5		5	-	0	-	9	Out										0	0	1	5	19	35	30	10	304,183
		4	-	2	-	8	Out												1	4	18	37	31	10	438
4	.5	4	-	1	-	9	Out												0	1	6	26	43	23	13,939
		3	-	3	-	8	Out																	100	3
4		4	-	0	-	10	Out												0	0	2	15	42	41	203,861
		3	-	2	-	9	Out													1	2	9	42	47	264
3	.5	3	-	1	-	10	Out														0	4	32	64	7,361
		2	-	3	-	9	Out																100		1
3		3	-	0	-	11	Out														0	2	22	76	97,617
		2	-	2	-	10	Out																19	81	102
2	.5	2	-	1	-	11	Out															0	10	90	2,641
2		2	-	0	-	12	Out															0	6	94	31,732
		1	-	2	-	11	Out																	100	19
1	.5	1	-	1	-	12	Out																1	99	541
1		1	-	0	-	13	Out																1	99	6,088
		0	-	2	-	12	Out																	100	2
0	.5	0	-	1	-	13	Out																	100	60
0		0	-	0	-	14	Out																0	100	695

Total:							5.4	%	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	6	7	9	10	12	13	14	15	1,597,808

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs Chicago	-1.2+1.1+2.0
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.1+0.2+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans	-0.1+0.2+0.2
Dallas vs Atlanta	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Philadelphia	-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs San Diego	-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Cincinnati	+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland	-0.0*+0.1+0.1
New England vs Jacksonville	-0.0*+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh	-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tampa Bay	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco	-0.0*+0.2+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs Detroit	-1.3+0.9+2.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	-0.0*+0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

14		14	-	0	-	0	95	2	3
13		13	-	0	-	1	52	25	21		2
12	.5	12	-	1	-	1	50	14	21		7				7
12		12	-	0	-	2	13	32	27	10	8	0	0		9	1	0
		11	-	2	-	1			50						50
11	.5	11	-	1	-	2	8	18	34	12	13	1			14	1
11		11	-	0	-	3	1	11	10	22	18	5	5	0	17	6	3	0	0
		10	-	2	-	2			20		60					20
10	.5	10	-	1	-	3		4	5	14	22	8	8	1	21	7	9	1	1
10		10	-	0	-	4		1	0	7	6	15	10	3	8	22	15	7	6	0	0
		9	-	2	-	3					12	12	20	4	8	24	16	4
9	.5	9	-	1	-	4		0		2	2	9	9	4	4	17	21	14	14	3	0	0
		8	-	3	-	3							50						50
9		9	-	0	-	5		0	0	0	0	4	4	6	0	10	5	24	28	13	5	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	2	-	4						2	2	5		8	4	25	36	10	4	1	1
8	.5	8	-	1	-	5						1	1	3		2	1	15	10	22	22	15	6	1	0	0
		7	-	3	-	4														100
8		8	-	0	-	6				0		0	0	2		0	0	5	5	13	20	21	16	10	5	2	1	0	0
		7	-	2	-	5								1				4	4	11	21	22	17	10	4	3	2	0
7	.5	7	-	1	-	6							0	0		0		1	0	0	1	5	12	21	25	20	10	4	1	0	0
		6	-	3	-	5																	67		33
7		7	-	0	-	7						0	0	0		0		0	0	0	0	1	5	10	17	21	19	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	6															0	2	5	11	16	18	21	14	6	5	1	0	0
6	.5	6	-	1	-	7								0									0	0	0	2	8	16	24	24	16	7	2	0	0
		5	-	3	-	6																					20	20	10	30	20
6		6	-	0	-	8								0									0	0	0	1	3	7	14	20	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	7																					3	6	14	20	20	17	13	6	2	0
5	.5	5	-	1	-	8																					0	0	0	2	8	18	26	25	14	5	1	0
		4	-	3	-	7																										25	50	25
5		5	-	0	-	9																				0	0	0	0	1	3	10	19	25	23	13	5	1
		4	-	2	-	8																								0	2	9	19	28	24	12	5	1
4	.5	4	-	1	-	9																									0	0	2	10	24	33	24	7
		3	-	3	-	8																														33		67
4		4	-	0	-	10																									0	0	1	5	16	31	33	15
		3	-	2	-	9																											1	3	12	26	39	19
3	.5	3	-	1	-	10																												0	2	14	40	44
		2	-	3	-	9																															100
3		3	-	0	-	11																										0	0	0	1	8	35	56
		2	-	2	-	10																													1	5	36	58
2	.5	2	-	1	-	11																													0	1	17	81
2		2	-	0	-	12																														1	12	88
		1	-	2	-	11																															16	84
1	.5	1	-	1	-	12																															2	98
1		1	-	0	-	13																															2	98
		0	-	2	-	12																																100
0	.5	0	-	1	-	13																																100
0		0	-	0	-	14																															0	100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8	8