Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 27.9%
1-0-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh-5.4+2.4+8.7
-0.6+0.3+0.9
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+1.7*-0.7-1.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.4*+0.2+0.7
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.3*+0.8+0.8
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.3*-0.1-0.7
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.3*+1.1-0.5
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
New England vs Jacksonville-0.2*+0.3+0.5
Detroit vs Denver+0.4*+0.1-0.3
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tampa Bay-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+5.2-3.3-11.4
+0.7-0.3-1.4
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.6*-1.0+1.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.5*+0.0-0.8
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.3*+0.9+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.2*-0.3+0.5
Chicago vs Oakland+0.3*+0.1-0.3
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.2*+1.5-0.2
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston+0.0-0.1-0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In991177
14.513-1-0In1006
1413-0-1In955907
12-2-0In1001
13.512-1-1In937100
1312-0-2In7919126,532
11-2-1In50506
12.511-1-2In682724663
1211-0-3In4540708028,855
10-2-2In345533329
11.510-1-3In30421201512,621
1110-0-499.7%11372332150085,029
9-2-3In153917120888
10.59-1-498.64232642912106,818
8-3-3In50502
109-0-590.0110251021248100178,613
8-2-493.6110251220266235
9.58-1-576.502151116321940012,883
7-3-4In50502
98-0-643.30071152027208200280,269
7-2-540.3069717262383390
8.57-1-618.00261925311961017,619
6-3-550.050502
87-0-75.7003028212823113000326,032
6-2-65.004191832251020482
7.56-1-71.0010172131251120018,210
5-3-6Out10102030201010
76-0-80.300001617282715510286,519
5-2-70.301151332281631396
6.55-1-80.000015173129143013,310
4-3-7Out25381313138
65-0-90.000015163030153188,456
4-2-8Out04183332112240
5.54-1-9Out01519373097,393
3-3-8Out50502
54-0-10Out001726422391,007
3-2-9Out26183836116
4.53-1-10Out011343432,795
2-3-9Out1001
43-0-11Out005336231,517
2-2-10Out4326428
3.52-1-11Out021980685
32-0-12Out011897,416
1-2-11Out33673
2.51-1-12Out29899
21-0-13Out2981,028
1-1.5Out100208*
Total:27.9%24645789998876541,597,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh+1.4-0.4-2.2
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.2*+0.1+0.1
New England vs Jacksonville-0.0+0.2+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Denver+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Chicago-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Atlanta-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-1.2+0.9+2.6
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.1-0.2+0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Detroit-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.0*-0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-09911
14.513-1-0100
1413-0-1841150
12-2-0100
13.512-1-18497
1312-0-2492918112
11-2-1331750
12.511-1-2402825124
1211-0-312332911700800
10-2-214213817333
11.510-1-3525261512001411
1110-0-41111126167301655000
9-2-315172213511388
10.59-1-40441915114020911010
8-3-35050
109-0-50109718738131949100
8-2-41109177591121561
9.58-1-50022136431322918510
7-3-45050
98-0-6000073705713242093100
7-2-506371671123201151
8.57-1-60021501181124251562000
6-3-55050
87-0-70000300239172219137310000
6-2-60031211162218138220
7.56-1-70010001513222519103100
5-3-6101010303010
76-0-8000000013814192016115210000
5-2-700037132122159720
6.55-1-8000138172423156200
4-3-713253825
65-0-90000025121821191362100
4-2-8271323171512840
5.54-1-9012918272314510
3-3-8100
54-0-10001381624241671
3-2-9361327261951
4.53-1-1002102432237
2-3-9100
43-0-11001414293418
2-2-107293925
3.52-1-1103133846
32-0-120173260
1-2-11333333
2.51-1-121684
21-0-1301090
1.50-1-13100
10-0-14199
Total:11132422234366555444444333322211