New York Jets Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 54%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Philadelphia+8.1*+0.4-8.1
+0.8*-0.0-0.8
New England vs Jacksonville-0.8*+1.5+0.8
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.6*-0.3-0.6
Detroit vs Denver+0.5*+2.3-0.5
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.4*+1.1-0.4
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami vs NY Jets-11.6*+0.7+11.6
-1.1*-0.0+1.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants-1.0*-1.5+1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.7*-0.5-0.7
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.5*-1.1+0.5
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston+0.0*-0.1-0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In10079*
1513-0-1In991387
12-2-0In1001
14.512-1-1In10050
1412-0-2In99102,549
11-2-1In1003
13.511-1-2In964221
1311-0-3In9450110,425
10-2-2In901010
12.510-1-3In90802866
9-3-2In1001
1210-0-4In7618105028,414
9-2-3In7817636
11.59-1-4In602730902,281
8-3-3In1003
119-0-5100.0%383281191057,074
8-2-4In4825719184
10.58-1-599.7183416226404,103
7-3-4In25754
108-0-697.1720185331430085,538
7-2-598.422017741112122
9.57-1-689.317171228259105,421
6-3-5In67333
97-0-763.40281016282310300097,673
6-2-664.618817312691144
8.56-1-727.60283152826144105,365
86-0-89.30031517252416720084,778
5-2-75.911313292218111135
7.55-1-81.1010027193024123103,952
4-3-7Out1001
75-0-90.20000281926241451057,220
4-2-8Out31010362710470
6.54-1-90.10029243223812,291
64-0-10Out001414273119528,506
3-2-9Out934441332
5.53-1-10Out17294022905
53-0-11Out01521413310,275
2-2-10Out20602015
4.52-1-11Out283358243
42-0-12Out0325712,619
1-2-11Out50502
3.51-1-12Out39737
31-0-13Out892419
2-2.5Out10075*
Total:54.0%139641298765544322492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-1.8-0.2+1.8
New England vs Jacksonville+0.1*-0.4-0.1
Detroit vs Denver-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs NY Jets+2.2-0.1-2.2
New Orleans vs Dallas+0.0+0.4-0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.1*+0.1-0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Atlanta vs Houston+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1513-0-19811
12-2-0100
14.512-1-1982
1412-0-297210
11-2-1100
13.511-1-29434
1311-0-38595001
10-2-2702010
12.510-1-37417802
9-3-2100
1210-0-45323171100500
9-2-344331436
11.59-1-43129252300900
8-3-33367
119-0-51226248801181100
8-2-41038214611721
10.58-1-521618161522233400
7-3-42575
108-0-6066141265022101313000
7-2-52615116729121022
9.57-1-61076111021216214910
6-3-5333333
97-0-700216644121612161262000
6-2-618532152010171351
8.56-1-700126031141223211241000
86-0-8000130105271216171511631000
5-2-7111316101623151444
7.55-1-80010000261422241883100
4-3-7100
75-0-90000013611151716149521000
4-2-83471610201910633
6.54-1-90141019252113610
64-0-10001261218211913620
3-2-9636916251916
5.53-1-100310222727101
53-0-1100131021302610
2-2-10720273313
4.52-1-1127194329
42-0-1203113649
1-2-115050
3.51-1-1251481
31-0-1301684
2-2.5100
Total:76544321756444433333222222211111