SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

New York Jets Playoff Chances 2015

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 72.8%

2-0-0 1.000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets vs Philadelphia	+3.5-3.4-10.9		+0.3-0.3-0.9
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.4*+0.1-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh	+0.4*+0.5-0.7		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New England vs Jacksonville	-0.4*+0.4+0.8		-0.1+0.1+0.2
Minnesota vs San Diego	+0.4*+0.6-0.7
Detroit vs Denver	+0.5*-0.0-0.4
Baltimore vs Cincinnati	+0.3*-1.2-0.2		+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis	-0.1*+0.8+0.3
Cleveland vs Oakland	+0.1*+0.7-0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Miami vs NY Jets	-9.8+2.1+10.2		-0.8*+0.1+0.9
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.5*+0.7+1.0		-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.6*-0.6-0.6		+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.3*+0.2+0.7
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	+0.3*+0.3-0.6		-0.0+0.1+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.3*+0.0+0.6
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	+0.3*-0.5-0.3		+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

15.5	-16						In		100																805	*
15		13	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			0												6,686
		12	-	2	-	0	In		100																3
14	.5	12	-	1	-	1	In		99	1															586
14		12	-	0	-	2	In		96	4	0		1												33,856
		11	-	2	-	1	In		79	21															19
13	.5	11	-	1	-	2	In		92	7	0		1												2,792
		10	-	3	-	1	In		100																1
13		11	-	0	-	3	In		82	14	0	0	4	0											102,754
		10	-	2	-	2	In		83	12			5												113
12	.5	10	-	1	-	3	In		71	21	1	0	7												7,694
		9	-	3	-	2	In		75	25															4
12		10	-	0	-	4	100.0	%	52	29	4	0	15	0	0										210,691
		9	-	2	-	3	In		52	30	4		14	0											255
11	.5	9	-	1	-	4	100.0		34	35	8	0	21	1	0										14,071
		8	-	3	-	3	In		29	29			43												7
11		9	-	0	-	5	99.8		17	29	13	2	35	4	0	0									307,139
		8	-	2	-	4	In		17	28	12	2	38	4											466
		7	-	4	-	3	In			100															1
10	.5	8	-	1	-	5	99.2		5	21	18	4	41	10	1	0									18,435
		7	-	3	-	4	In						100												5
10		8	-	0	-	6	92.8		2	9	14	6	39	24	6	1	0	0							328,344
		7	-	2	-	5	92.9		1	12	15	5	39	21	6	1									520
		6	-	4	-	4	In			100															1
9	.5	7	-	1	-	6	79.7		0	2	8	7	26	35	17	3	0	0	0						17,574
		6	-	3	-	5	In				25		50	25											4
9		7	-	0	-	7	48.5		0	0	3	5	12	29	31	15	4	1	0	0	0				263,987
		6	-	2	-	6	49.5				3	5	10	31	29	17	3	1							410
8	.5	6	-	1	-	7	18.1				1	3	2	13	29	30	17	5	1	0					12,216
		5	-	3	-	6	Out										100								2
8		6	-	0	-	8	5.0			0	0	1	0	4	15	26	27	17	7	2	0	0			157,978
		5	-	2	-	7	2.9					0		3	13	28	29	21	4	1					238
7	.5	5	-	1	-	8	0.3					0		0	2	10	22	31	23	10	2	0	0		6,139
		4	-	3	-	7	Out								25			50		25					4
7		5	-	0	-	9	0.1					0		0	0	3	10	22	28	22	11	3	0	0	71,092
		4	-	2	-	8	Out									5	5	18	29	30	10	3			105
6	.5	4	-	1	-	9	Out										1	5	17	32	29	13	3	0	2,310
6		4	-	0	-	10	Out									0	0	1	7	21	32	26	10	1	23,199
		3	-	2	-	9	Out												11	15	26	33	11	4	27
5	.5	3	-	1	-	10	Out											0	0	4	23	37	28	8	610
5		3	-	0	-	11	Out											0	0	2	13	31	37	17	5,467
		2	-	2	-	10	Out														17	17	67		6
4	.5	2	-	1	-	11	Out														1	20	38	41	114
4		2	-	0	-	12	Out														1	10	37	52	864
		1	-	2	-	11	Out															50		50	2
3	.5	1	-	1	-	12	Out																25	75	12
3		1	-	0	-	13	Out															1	27	71	77
2		0	-	0	-	14	Out																5	95	123

Total:							72.8	%	19	13	7	2	20	12	8	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	1,597,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Philadelphia	-0.7+0.5+2.1
New England vs Jacksonville	+0.1-0.2-0.3
Baltimore vs Cincinnati	-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Denver	-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.0*-0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tampa Bay	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Atlanta	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Miami vs Buffalo	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland	-0.0*-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Miami vs NY Jets	+1.6-0.3-1.7
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	+0.0-0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		14	-	0	-	0	100
15	.5	13	-	1	-	0	98	2
15		13	-	0	-	1	98	2	1						0
		12	-	2	-	0	100
14	.5	12	-	1	-	1	97	2	1
14		12	-	0	-	2	87	8	4	0	0				1
		11	-	2	-	1	74	5	21
13	.5	11	-	1	-	2	79	13	7	0	0				1
		10	-	3	-	1	100
13		11	-	0	-	3	57	25	13	0	0		0		4	0	0
		10	-	2	-	2	65	19	12						5
12	.5	10	-	1	-	3	39	32	20	1	1		0		7	0
		9	-	3	-	2	25	50	25
12		10	-	0	-	4	18	34	22	7	4	0	0		14	0	0		0
		9	-	2	-	3	14	38	22	8	3	0			14		0
11	.5	9	-	1	-	4	6	29	22	14	7	0	0		20	1	1		0
		8	-	3	-	3		29	14	14					43
11		9	-	0	-	5	1	16	11	18	10	3	1	0	28	6	4	0	0	0
		8	-	2	-	4	2	15	11	17	9	3	2		32	6	4
		7	-	4	-	3				100
10	.5	8	-	1	-	5	0	5	3	18	10	8	3	0	28	14	10	0	1	0
		7	-	3	-	4									60	40
10		8	-	0	-	6	0	2	1	8	5	9	4	1	19	19	21	3	6	1	0	0	0
		7	-	2	-	5		1	1	11	5	10	4	1	23	16	19	2	5	2
		6	-	4	-	4				100
9	.5	7	-	1	-	6		0	0	2	1	7	4	3	5	21	24	11	16	4	0	0	0
		6	-	3	-	5						25				50	25
9		7	-	0	-	7		0	0	0	0	3	2	3	2	10	14	15	18	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	6						3	2	3	1	9	13	18	21	16	10	3	0
8	.5	6	-	1	-	7						1	0	2		2	1	12	11	23	25	15	6	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	6															100
8		6	-	0	-	8				0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	1	6	13	19	21	17	11	5	2	0	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	7								0				3	2	8	13	19	28	11	11	4	2
7	.5	5	-	1	-	8								0				0		0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	7																25			25	50
7		5	-	0	-	9								0				0		0	0	0	2	5	10	16	19	19	15	9	4	1	0	0	0
		4	-	2	-	8																1	1	4	16	18	16	18	10	9	6	1
6	.5	4	-	1	-	9																		0	0	2	8	17	21	25	16	8	2	1	0
6		4	-	0	-	10																		0	0	0	1	3	8	15	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
		3	-	2	-	9																						4	7	7	26	15	19	7	11	4
5	.5	3	-	1	-	10																							0	2	9	19	24	25	16	5	1
5		3	-	0	-	11																							0	0	1	5	12	22	26	21	10	2
		2	-	2	-	10																													50	17	33
4	.5	2	-	1	-	11																											2	12	22	31	23	11
4		2	-	0	-	12																										0	1	3	10	26	36	25
		1	-	2	-	11																													50		50
3	.5	1	-	1	-	12																														8	58	33
3		1	-	0	-	13																														5	29	66
2		0	-	0	-	14																															11	89

Total:							9	10	7	7	4	3	2	1	12	7	8	4	5	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0