National Football Conference Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	D	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

Dallas	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	11	63.0	%	+0.9	13	12	13	14	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	5.8	+0.07	9	Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	18	61.0		+0.2	13	12	12	11	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	5.9	+0.01	21	Green Bay Packers
Arizona	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	37	57.7		+0.1	13	11	9	7	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	6.2	+0.01	21	Arizona Cardinals
Atlanta	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	6	56.6		+0.2	13	10	7	5	12	9	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	6.3	+0.01	9	Atlanta Falcons
Carolina	1	2	-	0	-	0	1.000	18	53.7		+0.1	12	10	8	6	10	8	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	2	6.7	-0.01	5	Carolina Panthers
Minnesota	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-7	39.5		+0.1	5	6	7	9	6	6	6	6	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	8.2	+0.01	31	Minnesota Vikings

San Francisco	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-8	38.5		+0.2	6	6	6	5	8	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	8.2	+0.01	16	San Francisco 49ers
St. Louis	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-11	38.0		+0.2	5	6	7	7	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	8.3		30	St. Louis Rams
Tampa Bay	1	1	-	0	-	1	.500	-21	37.4		+0.1	6	6	5	4	9	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	4	8.3	-0.02	27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington		1	-	0	-	2	.333	-4	29.0		-10.7	3	4	5	6	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	9.3	-1.16	26	Washington Redskins
NY Giants		1	-	0	-	2	.333	6	28.1		+8.2	2	4	5	6	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	9.5	+1.13	13	New York Giants
Detroit	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-15	20.7		-0.0	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	10	12	10.5	-0.03	32	Detroit Lions
Philadelphia	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-12	20.1		+0.5	1	2	3	5	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.6	+0.01	11	Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-33	19.7		-0.1	1	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.7	-0.04	16	Chicago Bears
Seattle	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-13	19.0		+0.1	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.7	-0.01	27	Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans	1	0	-	0	-	2	.000	-19	18.1		+0.1	2	2	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	10.8	-0.01	27	New Orleans Saints

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/24
NY Giants 32 Washington 21
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	+0.8		+0.1
Washington	-10.9		-1.2
NY Giants	+8.3		+1.1
Philadelphia	+0.4		+0.0
Chicago			-0.0

Dallas vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	72.4*60.353.6		4.86.06.8
Atlanta	46.8*58.266.5		7.3*6.25.3
Carolina	54.6*52.952.8		6.6*6.86.8
Tampa Bay	38.1*36.536.6		8.3*8.58.4
Washington	28.1*28.729.9		9.3*9.39.2
NY Giants	26.9*29.029.2		9.6*9.59.4
Philadelphia	19.1*20.721.0		10.7*10.610.6
New Orleans	18.6*17.917.5

Arizona vs San FranciscoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona	69.4*58.945.9		5.06.27.3
San Francisco	27.2*38.649.9		9.4*8.37.0

Carolina vs New OrleansHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	64.5*56.742.9		5.66.27.8
Tampa Bay	36.8*38.138.0
New Orleans	10.2*16.925.9		11.910.79.6

Seattle vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	61.8*59.660.2		5.9*6.06.0
Arizona	57.0*57.458.3		6.2*6.36.1
Minnesota	40.2*40.038.9
St. Louis	37.3*37.938.6
Chicago	12.9*20.126.6		11.8*10.59.6
Seattle	25.7*18.812.2		9.6*10.611.8

St. Louis vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona	56.4*58.558.9		6.3*6.26.1
Atlanta	56.0*57.057.2		6.3*6.26.2
San Francisco	37.2*41.239.8		8.3*8.08.1
St. Louis	45.8*35.930.1		7.58.49.2
Tampa Bay	36.8*36.338.0		8.4*8.48.3
Washington	28.7*29.329.3		9.39.19.2
Seattle	18.1*20.219.9		10.8*10.610.6

Houston vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	57.9*58.755.4		6.2*6.26.4
Carolina	55.0*53.952.4		6.6*6.76.8
St. Louis	38.5*37.837.4		8.3*8.48.4
Tampa Bay	29.7*36.445.0		9.18.37.5
Washington	29.4*28.528.6		9.29.49.3
New Orleans	18.7*17.817.4		10.7*10.810.8

Minnesota vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	59.3*62.562.7		6.1*5.85.8
Atlanta	56.0*59.157.2		6.3*6.26.2
Minnesota	47.4*38.531.7		7.4*8.39.1
Detroit	19.8*20.021.7		10.6*10.610.4
Chicago	18.8*20.120.6		10.8*10.610.6

Green Bay vs Kansas CityHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	68.8*61.753.2		5.1*5.96.7
Minnesota	37.6*37.441.5		8.4*8.48.1
Detroit	19.6*20.321.9		10.610.510.4
Chicago	18.6*21.720.9		10.810.510.6

Detroit vs DenverHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	59.8*61.262.2		6.0*5.85.8
Minnesota	38.5*39.440.6		8.3*8.28.1
Detroit	26.6*20.314.9		9.7*10.611.3
Chicago	19.1*21.620.4		10.8*10.510.6

NY Jets vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	64.2*64.161.7		5.7*5.75.9
Washington	29.8*27.128.3		9.29.59.3
NY Giants	28.9*28.827.2		9.4*9.59.6
Philadelphia	14.2*21.125.9		11.5*10.59.8

Week of 10/1
San Francisco vs Green BayIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	51.5*60.470.5		6.9*6.04.9
Arizona	56.7*58.558.7		6.3*6.26.1
Minnesota	40.9*38.038.2		8.2*8.48.3
San Francisco	48.0*36.429.1		7.1*8.49.3
St. Louis	37.1*38.538.8		8.4*8.28.3
Tampa Bay			8.38.68.3
Detroit	21.5*20.820.0
Chicago	20.6*19.118.9

Arizona vs St. LouisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona	69.4*58.745.9		5.0*6.27.3
St. Louis	26.2*35.849.8		9.6*8.57.1

Tampa Bay vs CarolinaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta			6.36.16.3
Carolina	42.2*55.065.1		7.96.55.6
Tampa Bay	48.6*34.526.2		7.1*8.69.5

New Orleans vs DallasHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	53.8*61.572.1		6.85.94.8
Atlanta	56.0*58.657.2		6.3*6.26.2
Washington	30.2*29.027.8		9.2*9.39.3
NY Giants	29.4*27.826.7		9.4*9.59.6
Detroit			10.510.710.4
Philadelphia	21.1*21.619.1		10.6*10.410.7
New Orleans	24.8*17.911.3		9.7*10.811.8

Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington	38.8*27.419.2		8.1*9.410.5
Philadelphia	11.8*19.628.3		11.8*10.69.5

Seattle vs DetroitHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	62.0*60.860.0		5.9*6.06.0
Arizona	57.0*57.258.3		6.2*6.36.1
Minnesota	40.2*38.738.9		8.2*8.38.3
St. Louis	37.4*37.338.5
Detroit	13.8*20.827.7		11.6*10.69.4
Seattle	25.7*18.812.3		9.6*10.711.8

Atlanta vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas			5.86.05.8
Atlanta	64.8*56.348.5		5.5*6.37.1
Carolina	52.3*52.755.1		6.9*6.86.6
Minnesota	38.9*41.440.2		8.3*8.18.2
Tampa Bay	36.2*36.838.5		8.4*8.48.2
New Orleans	17.2*18.518.9		10.8*10.710.7

Denver vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	62.7*60.359.2		5.8*6.06.1
Atlanta	57.2*55.656.1		6.2*6.46.3
Minnesota	31.6*39.147.5		9.1*8.27.4
Detroit	21.7*20.519.7		10.410.610.6
Chicago	20.7*19.518.8		10.610.710.8

Buffalo vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	64.5*62.161.4		5.7*5.85.9
Washington	30.3*30.727.7		9.2*9.29.4
NY Giants	20.9*26.635.2		10.4*9.58.6
Philadelphia	20.8*20.319.4		10.6*10.610.7

Chicago vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	59.9*61.362.0		6.0*5.95.8
Minnesota	38.6*40.840.5		8.3*8.28.2
Detroit	20.1*21.821.4		10.5*10.310.4
Chicago	25.4*18.414.1		9.9*10.711.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.