NFC South Playoff Chances 2015

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/24
NY Giants 32 Washington 21
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	+0.5
Carolina	+0.4		+0.0
Tampa Bay	+0.7

Carolina vs New OrleansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.9*78.778.8		4.74.54.4
Carolina	81.3*75.763.8		4.34.85.8
Tampa Bay	33.3*34.235.1		8.2*8.28.1
New Orleans	2.66.19.3		12.912.111.3

Houston vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	79.2*78.477.0		4.5*4.64.7
Carolina	78.1*77.875.9		4.64.64.8
Tampa Bay	26.5*33.841.3		8.8*8.27.5
New Orleans	4.5*4.63.9

Dallas vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	72.881.786.8		5.14.33.8
Carolina	77.4*76.876.4		4.64.74.8
Tampa Bay	34.2*33.732.8		8.2*8.28.3
New Orleans	4.4*4.14.0

St. Louis vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.6*78.479.0
Carolina	76.6*77.977.9		4.7*4.64.6
Tampa Bay	33.0*34.434.9		8.2*8.28.1
New Orleans	4.0*4.34.5		12.6*12.512.5

Minnesota vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.7*79.078.9		4.6*4.54.6
Carolina	76.6*77.177.8
Tampa Bay	33.2*33.434.4		8.2*8.38.1
New Orleans	4.1*4.64.4		12.6*12.512.5

Arizona vs San FranciscoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	78.3*78.277.7
Carolina	77.3*78.076.5
Tampa Bay	34.032.033.0		8.28.38.3
New Orleans	4.3*4.04.0		12.5*12.612.6

Green Bay vs Kansas CityHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.9*78.578.6
Carolina	76.8*77.477.5
Tampa Bay	33.5*33.434.2

Detroit vs DenverHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.9*77.978.3		4.64.74.6
Carolina	76.7*77.677.3		4.7*4.64.7
Tampa Bay	33.5*33.633.9
New Orleans			12.6*12.612.5

NY Jets vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	33.8*33.533.2		8.2*8.28.3
New Orleans			12.5*12.612.6

Week of 10/1
Tampa Bay vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.7*78.278.6		4.5*4.64.7
Carolina	68.381.486.3		5.44.43.9
Tampa Bay	44.231.922.6		7.38.39.2

Atlanta vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	81.476.367.9		4.34.85.4
Carolina	76.7*78.478.3		4.74.54.4
Tampa Bay	33.1*33.335.4		8.2*8.28.1
New Orleans	4.1*3.94.6

New Orleans vs DallasHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta			4.64.54.6
Carolina	76.9*76.877.2
New Orleans	6.9*3.92.3		11.712.413.2

Denver vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	78.6*78.177.2		4.6*4.64.7
Carolina	77.4*76.676.3		4.7*4.84.7
Tampa Bay	34.2*34.132.6		8.2*8.28.3
New Orleans	4.3*4.04.0		12.5*12.612.6

San Francisco vs Green BayHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.7*78.778.6
Carolina	76.5*77.777.6
Tampa Bay	33.1*33.934.4
New Orleans	4.1*4.94.4		12.6*12.512.5

Arizona vs St. LouisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	78.3*77.777.7
Carolina	77.3*77.276.5
Tampa Bay	33.9*34.033.3
New Orleans	4.3*4.44.0		12.5*12.512.6

Buffalo vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	78.3*78.177.8
Carolina	77.3*77.776.5
Tampa Bay	33.9*33.833.3		8.28.28.3
New Orleans	4.3*3.74.1		12.5*12.612.6

Chicago vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	78.0*77.778.3
Carolina	76.9*78.377.2		4.7*4.64.6
Tampa Bay	33.5*35.133.9		8.2*8.18.2
New Orleans			12.6*12.612.5

Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	78.0*78.178.4
Carolina	76.9*76.877.3
Tampa Bay			8.2*8.18.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.