Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 39.5%
1-0-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs San Diego+7.8*-1.0-7.8
+0.9*-0.1-0.9
Green Bay vs Kansas City-2.0*-2.1+2.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Detroit vs Denver-1.0*-0.1+1.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Chicago+0.7*+0.5-0.7
Houston vs Tampa Bay+0.4*+0.7-0.4
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh-0.4*-0.4+0.4
NY Jets vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Minnesota-7.9*-0.5+8.0
-0.9*+0.0+0.9
San Francisco vs Green Bay+1.4*-1.6-1.4
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland-1.0*+1.2+1.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Detroit+0.6*-0.9-0.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.6*+1.9+0.6
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.3*-0.3-0.3
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In10062*
1413-0-1In991395
13.512-1-1In962247
1312-0-2In936002,555
11-2-1In1002
12.511-1-2In919234
1211-0-3In7322203010,198
10-2-2In88138
11.510-1-3In5733406973
9-3-2In1001
1110-0-4100.0%3639131111028,626
9-2-3In3042121533
10.59-1-4100.0163923317202,185
8-3-3In1001
109-0-598.8623291121810056,824
8-2-4In928271119775
9.58-1-594.61927182317513,950
7-3-4Out1001
98-0-675.0031523132216720085,725
7-2-578.018211227157127
8.57-1-644.10519416262092005,324
6-3-5Out50502
87-0-720.6011315132222146200098,000
6-2-613.839217252910311145
7.56-1-75.3050031123291992005,293
5-3-6Out50502
76-0-82.50200391925231451085,022
5-2-70.7162626181761141
6.55-1-80.6101415283016504,065
4-3-7Out33673
65-0-90.20001515273017456,849
4-2-81.11122136307287
5.54-1-9Out003143434152,251
3-3-8Out1001
54-0-100.00001622413028,497
3-2-9Out429392928
4.53-1-10Out173558907
43-0-11Out04267010,478
2-2-10Out554511
3.52-1-11Out11089237
32-0-12Out08922,578
1-2-11Out1001
2.51-1-12Out10043
21-0-13Out298376
0-2-12Out1001
1-1.5Out10068*
Total:39.5%5679666677666655492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs San Diego-2.1+0.2+2.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.2*+0.2-0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.2+0.0
Detroit vs Denver+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Seattle vs Chicago-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.0*+0.3-0.0
New England vs Jacksonville-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Minnesota+2.1-0.1-2.1
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.0-0.5+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.2*+0.4+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0-0.1+0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Detroit-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0*-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-15100
1413-0-19721
13.512-1-19622
1312-0-28586000
11-2-1100
12.511-1-2761590
1211-0-34825211200300
10-2-2632513
11.510-1-32928303406
9-3-2100
1110-0-41025281112110101100
9-2-3121827151215
10.59-1-42152019203315320
8-3-3100
109-0-506618181110113971100
8-2-4972116111112751
9.58-1-510991815381513351
7-3-4100
98-0-6003212131021191212841000
7-2-521611102101017985
8.57-1-6004613041151017179310
6-3-55050
87-0-70012110105261013141310631000
6-2-631822413171518981
7.56-1-7005000261321231684100
5-3-65050
76-0-800200012591316171410621000
5-2-71145111114132010451
6.55-1-8101410192323135100
4-3-73367
65-0-900000251117212015720
4-2-811810172423932
5.54-1-9001411212824102
3-3-8100
54-0-100013920302711
3-2-941129182514
4.53-1-1016214331
43-0-11002113651
2-2-1095536
3.52-1-11132076
32-0-12011287
1-2-11100
2.51-1-12100
21-0-13496
0-2-12100
1-1.5100
Total:23333445333333333333333333333332