Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 2015 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 0.04 to 33% 1-0-1 .500 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Green Bay vs Kansas City | -7.5*+0.8+7.5 | | -0.8*+0.1+0.8 | | Detroit vs Denver | +1.3*-0.4-1.3 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Minnesota vs San Diego | +1.0*+0.8-1.0 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Cleveland vs Oakland | +0.6*+1.1-0.6 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | NY Jets vs Philadelphia | -0.5*+0.4+0.5 | | | | St. Louis vs Pittsburgh | +0.4*+0.2-0.4 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | New England vs Jacksonville | -0.4*+1.7+0.3 | | | | Baltimore vs Cincinnati | | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Tennessee vs Indianapolis | | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | -9.3*+1.3+9.4 | | -1.1+0.1+1.1 | | Denver vs Minnesota | -1.1*+2.3+1.1 | | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | | Chicago vs Oakland | +0.9*-0.9-0.9 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | -0.7*-0.5+0.7 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | San Diego vs Cleveland | -0.5*+0.2+0.5 | | | | Atlanta vs Houston | | | +0.1-0.2-0.0 | | Miami vs NY Jets | | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | | | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Indianapolis vs Jacksonville | | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14.5 | -15 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 73 | * | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 389 | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 39 | | 13 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 92 | 7 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,663 | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 85 | 13 | 0 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 249 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 71 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 10,342 | | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 45 | 36 | | | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 58 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 926 | | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 32 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 28,213 | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 42 | 21 | 16 | | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 16 | 33 | 19 | 2 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2,247 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 96.1 | | 5 | 18 | 20 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 57,043 | | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 95.2 | | 5 | 24 | 19 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 89.5 | | 1 | 7 | 18 | 12 | 26 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4,019 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 57.5 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 85,464 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 53.3 | | | 2 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 11 | | 1 | | | | | | | 107 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 26.6 | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 5,339 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 7.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 97,551 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 6.8 | | | | | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | | | 148 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 1.3 | | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 5,265 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 85,141 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | 2 | 4 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 12 | | | 120 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 4,008 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 57,371 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 9 | 92 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 41 | 19 | 2,176 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 35 | 28,542 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 38 | 24 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 62 | 882 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 25 | 72 | 10,472 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | 9 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | 263 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 91 | 2,658 | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 4 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | 35 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 373 | | 1 | -1.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 65 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 33.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 492,432 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Green Bay vs Kansas City | +2.0-0.2-2.0 | | New England vs Jacksonville | +0.0-0.3-0.0 | | St. Louis vs Pittsburgh | +0.1-0.3-0.0 | | Detroit vs Denver | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | Cleveland vs Oakland | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Miami vs Buffalo | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Seattle vs Chicago | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Houston vs Tampa Bay | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Minnesota vs San Diego | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | | Tennessee vs Indianapolis | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Arizona vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Baltimore vs Cincinnati | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | +2.2-0.4-2.2 | | Denver vs Minnesota | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | | Indianapolis vs Jacksonville | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Seattle vs Detroit | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | New Orleans vs Dallas | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Arizona vs St. Louis | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Atlanta vs Houston | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | | San Diego vs Cleveland | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Chicago vs Oakland | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfPower Rankings | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14.5 | -15 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 96 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 83 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 73 | 11 | 13 | | 0 | | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 46 | 25 | 20 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 45 | | 36 | | | | | | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 29 | 30 | 25 | 3 | 5 | | 0 | | 9 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 9 | 23 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 8 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 2 | | 23 | 3 | 4 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | 5 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 3 | | 17 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | | | | 2 | | 7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 50 | | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | 3 | | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 8 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 4 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 5 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 27 | 11 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 44 | 29 | 4 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 51 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | 22 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 22 | 75 | 3 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 85 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | 2 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 1 | -1.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
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