Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.06 to 8.3%
0-0-2   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-3.6*+0.4+8.0
-0.6+0.1+1.4
New England vs Jacksonville+0.6*-0.9-1.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.0+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+4.6-1.8-4.8
+0.9-0.1-0.9
Atlanta vs Houston+0.2*-0.2-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In973126
1313-0-1In8613263
12.512-1-1In63388
1212-0-2In51381100716
11-2-1In1001
11.511-1-2In35411714194
1111-0-3100.0%14383484104,773
10-2-2In5025254
10.510-1-399.472839178100544
9-3-2In1001
1010-0-497.711237338720020,723
9-2-3In31438347329
9.59-1-491.6324447137202,108
8-3-3In1001
99-0-570.601114441114104100065,098
8-2-471.31647351376294
8.58-1-545.702371615211341005,890
7-3-433.3171733336
88-0-626.30124016152119103100149,692
7-2-522.121161123231320222
7.57-1-611.00110151527251230011,755
6-3-5Out5025254
77-0-75.305001514242617610255,382
6-2-65.050061623251861381
6.56-1-71.11003132832184017,147
5-3-6Out64918911
66-0-80.4000014142832184327,111
5-2-70.2006142733181477
5.55-1-80.00031536341118,699
4-3-7Out133825258
55-0-90.0000016244227313,775
4-2-8Out17244029429
4.54-1-9Out0112404714,818
3-3-8Out60405
44-0-10Out0053065219,912
3-2-9Out063261269
3.53-1-10Out0118818,062
2-3-9Out2525504
33-0-11Out001189110,243
2-2-10Out109098
2.52-1-11Out04963,011
22-0-12Out029837,000
1-2-11Out10027
1.51-1-12Out199679
11-0-13Out01007,469
0-2-12Out1002
0-0.5Out100837*
Total:8.3%001601123468101418251,597,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+1.2-0.1-2.6
Detroit vs Denver+0.1+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Atlanta+0.0+0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Houston vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0
New England vs Jacksonville-0.0+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.0*-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-1.7+0.4+1.8
Denver vs Minnesota-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.1*+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09433
1313-0-15135132
12.512-1-1382538
1212-0-21238251311000
11-2-1100
11.511-1-212232913161141
1111-0-3014102922128141100
10-2-2502525
10.510-1-3742323161517111
9-3-2100
1010-0-4101183023113551200
9-2-331410282114333
9.59-1-403321271725103720
8-3-3100
99-0-50101112320338141041000
8-2-4161037332111062
8.58-1-50273011571617104100
7-3-417175017
88-0-60011230012714171510621000
7-2-5120129141513111030
7.57-1-60011001410182218104100
6-3-5502525
77-0-7005000013713171916116210000
6-2-651461114231513620
6.56-1-71000271624241682100
5-3-62736279
66-0-80000025101721201473100
5-2-7002413172217138300
5.55-1-80002718262515510
4-3-71313253813
55-0-900000271523251871
4-2-81281322261982
4.54-1-900292433257
3-3-820402020
44-0-10001313283520
3-2-90212284117
3.53-1-10002134044
2-3-9252550
33-0-1100173261
2-2-1043264
2.52-1-11011682
22-0-12001089
1-2-11793
1.51-1-12397
11-0-13298
0-2-12100
0.50-1-13100
00-0-140100
Total:000001150000112222334445566788910