Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 61%

2-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Green Bay finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14.5	-16						In		100																533	*
14		12	-	0	-	2	In		99	1			0												2,647
13	.5	11	-	1	-	2	In		97	3															245
13		11	-	0	-	3	In		94	6	0		0												10,243
		10	-	2	-	2	In		95	5															20
12	.5	10	-	1	-	3	In		91	8	0		0												888
		9	-	3	-	2	In		100																2
12		10	-	0	-	4	In		75	22	2	0	1	0											28,610
		9	-	2	-	3	In		83	18															40
11	.5	9	-	1	-	4	In		60	32	5	0	2												2,264
11		9	-	0	-	5	100.0	%	38	41	13	1	6	0	0										56,892
		8	-	2	-	4	In		39	48	6		6												77
10	.5	8	-	1	-	5	100.0		20	42	24	3	9	1	0										4,019
		7	-	3	-	4	In			67	33														3
10		8	-	0	-	6	99.1		7	27	31	11	16	6	1	0									85,150
		7	-	2	-	5	99.2		12	34	26	8	16	4	1										132
9	.5	7	-	1	-	6	96.1		1	12	32	22	17	13	3	0	0								5,442
		6	-	3	-	5	In				50			50											2
9		7	-	0	-	7	79.1		0	4	18	27	12	19	14	6	1	0	0						97,462
		6	-	2	-	6	81.5			3	19	25	12	23	13	4	1								135
8	.5	6	-	1	-	7	50.4			0	6	27	3	14	22	18	7	2	0						5,269
8		6	-	0	-	8	25.4			0	2	17	1	6	15	22	19	12	5	1	0	0			85,521
		5	-	2	-	7	21.4				1	14	3	3	9	23	21	19	5						98
7	.5	5	-	1	-	8	9.1				0	9	0	0	2	11	21	28	19	8	2	0			3,993
		4	-	3	-	7	Out										25	25	25		25				4
7		5	-	0	-	9	3.6				0	4	0	0	1	3	11	21	25	21	11	4	1	0	57,328
		4	-	2	-	8	3.0					3			2	2	11	21	30	15	14		3		66
6	.5	4	-	1	-	9	1.0					1					1	5	15	28	29	16	4	0	2,232
6		4	-	0	-	10	0.3					0				0	0	1	6	17	28	28	15	3	28,465
		3	-	2	-	9	Out												5	18	13	34	29		38
5	.5	3	-	1	-	10	Out												0	3	15	37	31	13	902
5		3	-	0	-	11	0.0					0							0	1	7	24	41	27	10,387
		2	-	2	-	10	Out														22	22	22	33	9
4	.5	2	-	1	-	11	Out															9	39	52	233
4		2	-	0	-	12	Out														0	5	30	65	2,572
		1	-	2	-	11	Out																50	50	4
3	.5	1	-	1	-	12	Out															2	9	89	56
3		1	-	0	-	13	Out																9	91	378
2	-2.5						Out																	100	71	*

Total:							61.0	%	13	12	12	11	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-1.9-0.1+1.9
Minnesota vs San Diego	+0.2*-0.2-0.2
Carolina vs New Orleans	-0.0-0.2+0.0
Detroit vs Denver	+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Dallas vs Atlanta	-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Chicago	-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay	-0.0*+0.2+0.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh	-0.0*+0.4+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+2.0+0.1-2.0
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.2*+0.1+0.2
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.1*-0.0-0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.1*-0.2-0.1
New Orleans vs Dallas	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston	+0.0*-0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Power Rankings

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15.5	-16						100
15		13	-	0	-	1	100	0
14	.5	12	-	1	-	1	100
14		12	-	0	-	2	97	1	1						0
13	.5	11	-	1	-	2	93	4	3
13		11	-	0	-	3	86	8	6	0	0				0
		10	-	2	-	2	85	10	5
12	.5	10	-	1	-	3	77	14	8		0				0
		9	-	3	-	2	100
12		10	-	0	-	4	54	22	21	1	2		0		1	0	0
		9	-	2	-	3	60	23	18
11	.5	9	-	1	-	4	30	30	29	3	5		0		2	0
11		9	-	0	-	5	13	25	31	10	13	1	1		6	0	0	0	0
		8	-	2	-	4	6	32	44	4	6				5	1
10	.5	8	-	1	-	5	2	18	21	21	21	3	3	0	8	1	1		0
		7	-	3	-	4			33	33	33
10		8	-	0	-	6	0	7	8	19	22	10	11	1	11	5	5	0	1	0	0
		7	-	2	-	5	1	11	8	26	17	8	6	2	11	5	4		1
9	.5	7	-	1	-	6		1	0	11	11	22	19	3	6	11	10	3	3	0	0
		6	-	3	-	5						50					50
9		7	-	0	-	7		0	0	4	3	15	17	10	2	10	10	9	11	6	3	1	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	6				3	1	18	17	8	1	11	8	15	8	7	4
8	.5	6	-	1	-	7				0	0	6	8	19	0	3	1	13	8	15	15	8	3	1	0	0
8		6	-	0	-	8				0	0	2	3	14		1	0	6	2	7	11	13	13	11	9	5	2	1	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	7						1	3	11		3		3	2	5	12	20	9	9	10	5	3	2
7	.5	5	-	1	-	8						0	0	8		0		0		0	0	2	5	12	20	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	7																		25	25	25		25
7		5	-	0	-	9						0	0	3		0		0		0	0	0	1	3	6	10	15	17	16	13	9	5	2	1	0	0
		4	-	2	-	8								3											3	9	15	18	20	9	12	6	5
6	.5	4	-	1	-	9								1											0	0	1	4	9	19	25	21	13	5	1	0
6		4	-	0	-	10								0												0	0	1	2	6	12	18	21	19	13	6	2	0
		3	-	2	-	9																						3			5	26	13	24	18	11
5	.5	3	-	1	-	10																									0	3	11	25	29	21	9	2
5		3	-	0	-	11								0																0	0	1	3	9	20	31	26	10
		2	-	2	-	10																												33		33	33
4	.5	2	-	1	-	11																												0	7	21	45	26
4		2	-	0	-	12																												0	2	13	35	50
		1	-	2	-	11																														25	50	25
3	.5	1	-	1	-	12																														2	21	77
3		1	-	0	-	13																														1	12	87
2	-2.5																																					100

Total:							7	6	7	6	6	5	6	5	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1