Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 56.3%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Denver-8.1*-1.3+8.0
-0.8*-0.1+0.8
Minnesota vs San Diego+1.2*+0.7-1.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City+1.2*-0.8-1.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.9*-0.5-0.9
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.6*-0.8+0.7
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh+0.3*+0.9-0.3
Houston vs Tampa Bay-0.0*+0.1+0.0
New England vs Jacksonville+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Minnesota+8.0*-2.2-8.1
+0.8*-0.1-0.8
Chicago vs Oakland+1.2*+0.1-1.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland-0.8*-0.3+0.8
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City+0.7*-1.2-0.7
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.4*+0.5+0.4
Atlanta vs Houston+0.3*-1.0-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.0*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-16In100515*
1412-0-2In99102,601
11-2-1In1001
13.511-1-2In982239
1311-0-3In9460010,311
10-2-2In10012
12.510-1-3In891001874
1210-0-4In7521203028,616
9-2-3In742631
11.59-1-4In603040502,191
8-3-3In1001
119-0-5100.0%37381211210057,134
8-2-4In403113113286
10.58-1-599.81837232183004,186
108-0-697.9624278231020085,649
7-2-598.492024624152124
9.57-1-691.119231523217105,401
6-3-5In1002
97-0-768.40313171323199300097,669
6-2-672.5111124132314121142
8.56-1-732.403132132624124105,412
5-3-633.33333333
86-0-814.101815152323157200084,907
5-2-713.6181413242514821125
7.55-1-82.40200161830261240004,018
75-0-91.00100281826241461056,937
4-2-8Out32222719168286
6.54-1-90.100029263123812,236
64-0-100.00001413263119528,303
3-2-9Out48441624425
5.53-1-10Out0110294020860
2-3-9Out1001
53-0-11Out001520413410,345
2-2-10Out144314297
4.52-1-11Out143263273
42-0-12Out00325712,607
1-2-11Out50502
3.51-1-12Out109049
31-0-13Out0892384
2.50-1-13Out1003
20-0-14Out29864
Total:56.3%131197987665544322492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Denver+1.9+0.1-1.9
Minnesota vs San Diego-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1*+0.0-0.1
New England vs Jacksonville-0.1*+0.4+0.1
NY Jets vs Philadelphia+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Seattle vs Chicago+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Minnesota-1.9+0.0+1.9
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.1-0.3+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland-0.1-0.1+0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.2+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Detroit+0.0-0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1513-0-11000
14.512-1-1100
1412-0-298210
11-2-1100
13.511-1-29532
1311-0-38596000
10-2-2100
12.510-1-375141001
1210-0-45223201200300
9-2-3581626
11.59-1-4312928340500
8-3-3100
119-0-51225281011110111100
8-2-412282381311212
10.58-1-5216181821221523000
108-0-6067161898116791200
7-2-59101019561204152
9.57-1-61088151321013183720
6-3-5100
97-0-70033111063101310141152000
6-2-611281014311121181162
8.56-1-70034902212122120113100
5-3-6333333
86-0-8001160105271215161410631000
5-2-71261429101222141042
7.55-1-8002000026132223189310
75-0-900100001261115171713952100
4-2-81238141720121092
6.54-1-900141019252213520
64-0-100001261117212014620
3-2-941620208248
5.53-1-1000312202922111
2-3-9100
53-0-110131020302611
2-2-10295714
4.52-1-1117204230
42-0-12002123650
1-2-115050
3.51-1-1242471
31-0-1301386
2.50-1-13100
20-0-14298
Total:76655443545344333332222222211111