Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 63%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 +0.8
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Dallas vs Atlanta+9.4*-2.6-9.4
+1.0-0.2-1.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia+1.2*+1.1-1.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay+0.5*+0.6-0.5
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.3*-2.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh-0.3*+0.3+0.3
Minnesota vs San Diego-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Detroit vs Denver-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Dallas-9.1*-1.4+9.2
-1.0-0.1+1.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants+1.6*-0.8-1.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.4*-0.4+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota+0.3*+0.5-0.3
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0-0.2+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-16In100500*
1412-0-2In99102,658
11-2-1In1002
13.511-1-2In991229
1311-0-3In9360010,354
10-2-2In91911
12.510-1-3In891100899
1210-0-4In752220128,328
9-2-3In732730
11.59-1-4In603350202,166
8-3-3In1001
119-0-5100.0%384114140056,780
8-2-4In364119470
10.58-1-5100.019412648104,024
7-3-4In1001
108-0-699.3728341312410085,748
7-2-599.253137121041119
9.57-1-696.711133231612305,279
97-0-782.2042132101611510097,776
6-2-685.36203011181031143
8.56-1-752.0062931422187205,342
5-3-6In33673
86-0-831.202221614201811410085,487
5-2-733.322137131523105135
7.55-1-89.509003102226207104,009
75-0-95.505013102025201141056,801
4-2-84.751362434159286
6.54-1-91.3101515272916502,309
3-3-8Out1001
64-0-100.40001616282916428,389
3-2-9Out275313121242
5.53-1-10Out1212353515962
53-0-110.0001622403010,364
2-2-10Out77602715
4.52-1-11Out193951230
42-0-12Out00427692,618
3.51-1-12Out3168132
31-0-13Out694415
2.50-1-13Out14867
20-0-14Out10067
Total:63.0%13121314555555443321492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Dallas vs Atlanta-2.0+0.4+2.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Seattle vs Chicago-0.1*-0.0+0.1
New England vs Jacksonville-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Detroit vs Denver+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Dallas+2.0+0.3-2.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Washington vs Philadelphia+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Detroit-0.1*+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0*+0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-16100
1412-0-297210
11-2-1100
13.511-1-29531
1311-0-38676000
10-2-28299
12.510-1-374151100
1210-0-45421211201
9-2-3571727
11.59-1-430303035020
8-3-3100
119-0-513253110141104000
8-2-4142127141931
10.58-1-5218192223347110
7-3-4100
108-0-6079192411121844010
7-2-5512192891025541
9.57-1-61011112220461010230
97-0-7004416201128989621000
6-2-6164152010388108321
8.56-1-700692003113915148310
5-3-63367
86-0-8002418010526101212118521000
5-2-7241737510139136711
7.55-1-80090000151320221693100
75-0-9005000012610141616139521000
4-2-855510121514161062
6.54-1-9101310182520136100
3-3-8100
64-0-1000000251117212014620
3-2-957102624262
5.53-1-100139222923122
53-0-1100013920292711
2-2-1073333207
4.52-1-1116254226
42-0-1202103751
3.51-1-1292863
31-0-1311486
2.50-1-132971
20-0-14100
Total:76767676233322222222222222211111