Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances 2015

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.006 to 27.6%
1-0-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Oakland+6.3-2.6-10.2
+0.8-0.3-1.3
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+1.5*-0.6-1.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh+0.8*+0.3-1.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.4*-0.7-0.9
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.3*+0.4+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Jacksonville-0.3*-0.5+0.7
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.4*-0.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Denver+0.4*+0.3-0.3
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs Cleveland-7.0*+1.2+11.4
-0.8+0.2+1.3
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.6*+0.1+1.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.5*+0.7+1.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.3*+0.7+0.6
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.3*-0.2+0.5
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.3*-0.0-0.4
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.2*-0.2+0.2
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.2*-1.0-0.2
Atlanta vs Houston+0.0*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In982180
14.513-1-0In10012
1413-0-1In946822
13.512-1-1In96484
1312-0-2In791910106,036
11-2-1In75254
12.511-1-2In702523577
1211-0-3In4639608026,731
10-2-2In435721
11.510-1-3In31401111612,423
9-3-2In1001
1110-0-499.7%13372122150080,029
9-2-3In153328216696
10.59-1-499.0424274291116,592
8-3-3In67333
109-0-590.911125823238100172,095
8-2-492.71112412202470246
9.58-1-575.803161116311951012,571
7-3-466.767333
98-0-646.4018962228186100272,220
7-2-543.9079721292250433
8.57-1-617.70261925301961017,526
6-3-58.3833174212
87-0-76.5013031124282082000325,395
6-2-65.4033122129201021466
7.56-1-71.00100172132251020018,073
5-3-6Out25133813138
76-0-80.300002921282312300292,034
5-2-70.5000182031231240431
6.55-1-80.00015173229143013,856
4-3-7Out173333176
65-0-90.000028213126112195,669
4-2-8Out26183427102260
5.54-1-9Out01621362977,640
3-3-8Out1001
54-0-10Out0021231391797,308
3-2-9Out211313916142
4.53-1-10Out0021643392,962
43-0-11Out019395134,344
2-2-10Out12305843
3.52-1-11Out22277760
32-0-12Out0117828,184
1-2-11Out60405
2.51-1-12Out1189107
21-0-13Out4961,181
1.50-1-13Out10011
10-0-14Out199205
Total:27.6%24635789998876531,597,808
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Oakland-1.4+0.9+2.3
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.2*+0.2+0.1
Seattle vs Chicago-0.0-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Denver+0.1*+0.0-0.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs Cleveland+1.4+0.0-2.3
Miami vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Detroit-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0*-0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-0982
14.513-1-0100
1413-0-184106
13.512-1-18884
1312-0-251291811010
11-2-17525
12.511-1-2373223223
1211-0-312342811600800
10-2-214294810
11.510-1-3526261411111611
9-3-2100
1110-0-41121126156201655000
9-2-3114528161321426
10.59-1-4044201611402091101
8-3-36733
109-0-50111171862914194810
8-2-4111618845151967
9.58-1-50032136541221919510
7-3-4333333
98-0-601083616814301661000
7-2-500726167143615510
8.57-1-600215118112425156100
6-3-5825173388
87-0-7001030034142222169410000
6-2-6002361322211511511
7.56-1-70010001513222418103100
5-3-613383813
76-0-800000001511182119137310000
5-2-7001510202218135311
6.55-1-80001391824231562000
4-3-71717331717
65-0-9000013816212116941000
4-2-803913222416741
5.54-1-9013920262313410
3-3-8100
54-0-1000014112025221241
3-2-91411192720135
4.53-1-10003112432236
43-0-11001617313114
2-2-1026302619
3.52-1-113153943
32-0-1200193653
1-2-114060
2.51-1-1241879
21-0-1311387
1.50-1-13100
10-0-14298
Total:11132412234376654444443333222211